Tottenham Hotspur F.C. → FC Bayern Munich · Loan · Summer 2026
It did not happen
last read 22% before it was settled
- Rumoured2 Jul
- Talks2 Jul
- Agreement8 Jul
- Medical—
- Done—
Catch me up
- 2 Julfirst@Plettigoal: João Palhinha set to return to FC Bayern after Tottenham deal falls through
- 8 JulReached Agreement
- 8 JulReached Done
- 8 JulJoined by @FabrizioRomano
- 15 AugJoined by @JacobsBen
What was actually said
3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.
Reported as being in talks
Advancing2 reports, led by @JacobsBen@Plettigoal had it first, 3mo ago1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
- @Plettigoal3mo ago ↗no effect
🚨🔙 João Palhinha is set to return to FC Bayern for now. The Tottenham deal is now 100% off following the signings of Sandro Tonali and Mateus Fernandes. A possible move to Sporting is also complicated due to Bayern’s asking price. There are further interested clubs. Talks are https://t.co/VC5hD9lUMl
Reported as done
Advancingone reportWhy it read 22% before it settled
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+21
JacobsBen advancingtrust 0.81, 86% faded, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%)
+1
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
22%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.
Probability over time
- −201mo agono new post; decay or a rival moving
- +201mo agono new post; decay or a rival moving
- −1127d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
- +321d agono new post; decay or a rival moving