Manchester City → Tottenham Hotspur · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
95%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 3mo agolast moved 2mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    19 Aug
  2. Talks
    19 Aug
  3. Agreement
    21 Aug
  4. Medical
    23 Aug
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 19 Augfirst@David_Ornstein: Tottenham working on deal to sign 27yo Egypt forward Omar Marmoush from Manchester City, talks advancing
  2. 21 AugReached Agreement
  3. 21 AugJoined by @Plettigoal
  4. 23 AugReached Medical
  5. 23 AugJoined by @FabrizioRomano, @TEAMtalk

What was actually said

6 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancing2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano

🚨💣 BREAKING: Tottenham reach verbal agreement with Man City to sign Omar Marmoush, here we go! Verbal agreement done on initial loan with buy clause to become mandatory under certain conditions at £50m. Marmoush said yes to #THFC days ago, travel and medical on Monday. ⚪️🇪🇬 https://t.co/yfq0lOUB8N

claims Medical+2 pointsView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @David_Ornstein2mo ago ↗+1

    🚨 Omar Marmoush granted permission to take Tottenham Hotspur medical after saying goodbyes at Manchester City today. 27yo joins #MCFC on loan with #THFC buy obligation for £50m + £10m (£5m guaranteed) - 4+1yr contract & no Frankfurt sell-on @TheAthleticFC https://t.co/RRHohysvyG

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🚨 Tottenham Hotspur working on double deal to sign Savinho & Omar Marmoush from Manchester City. #THFC aiming to land both 22yo Brazil winger + 27yo Egypt forward as key targets to strengthen attack - not done but talks with #MCFC advancing @TheAthleticFC https://t.co/qeVeKoKzhG

claims TalksView on X ↗

Reported as agreed

Advancing3 reports, led by @Plettigoal

🚨⏳ Omar Marmoush and Tottenham have reached a full verbal agreement. Club-to-club negotiations with Manchester City are advanced and set to be completed soon, if nothing extraordinary happens. @SkySportDE 🇪🇬 https://t.co/P6jd1Ejz3E

claims AgreementView on X ↗
2 other posts, 2 other sources on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano2mo ago ↗

    ⚪️🇪🇬 After Savinho, Omar Marmoush set for Tottenham move early next week. Loan with buy clause to become mandatory under certain conditions at £50m. https://t.co/1qd7LRtikH

  • @TEAMtalk2mo ago ↗

    ⚪️An agreement for Tottenham to sign Omar Marmoush from Manchester City is in place, but on an initial LOAN deal... #THFC https://t.co/2H4CMG2vlW

Why it read 91% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+88
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 50% faded, counted at 60%
+2
David Ornstein advancingtrust 0.75, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 36%
+1
4 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
91%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: −3 points, after @David_Ornstein23 Aug28 Aug28 Aug
12 recomputations▼ 2 points over the trail
  1. −32mo ago@David_Ornstein: Granted permission to take Tottenham medical; loan with buy obligation for £50m + £10m (£5m guaranteed), 4+1yr contract