David Ornstein

@David_Ornstein ↗Journalist

David Ornstein has been right on 81 of the 99 transfer calls we have scored: 80% once each call is weighted by how confident it was.

Measured accuracy
80%
weighted by how confident each call was
Starting tier
T1
superseded by measurement
Calls scored
99
81 right · 18 wrong
Brier score
0.100
lower is better; 0.25 is a coin flip

Measured trust over time

.00.25.50.751.00assigned tier2 Sept5 Nov
Measured above the tier they were given.

Resolved calls

40 shown

Hits and misses are listed together in date order, not cherry-picked.