David_Ornstein

@David_OrnsteinJournalist
Measured accuracy
80%
weighted by how confident each call was
Starting tier
T1
superseded by measurement
Calls scored
97
79 right · 18 wrong
Brier score
0.101
lower is better; 0.25 is a coin flip

Measured trust over time

.00.25.50.751.00assigned tier2 Sept: 0.71 from 98 resolved reports3 Sept: 0.71 from 98 resolved reports3 Sept: 0.77 from 98 resolved reports4 Sept: 0.77 from 98 resolved reports4 Sept: 0.77 from 98 resolved reports5 Sept: 0.77 from 98 resolved reports5 Sept: 0.80 from 95 resolved reports5 Sept: 0.76 from 87 resolved reports5 Sept: 0.80 from 95 resolved reports5 Sept: 0.80 from 95 resolved reports5 Sept: 0.80 from 95 resolved reports5 Sept: 0.80 from 95 resolved reports6 Sept: 0.80 from 95 resolved reports7 Sept: 0.80 from 95 resolved reports7 Sept: 0.80 from 95 resolved reports7 Sept: 0.80 from 95 resolved reports7 Sept: 0.80 from 95 resolved reports7 Sept: 0.80 from 95 resolved reports8 Sept: 0.80 from 95 resolved reports9 Sept: 0.80 from 95 resolved reports10 Sept: 0.80 from 95 resolved reports11 Sept: 0.80 from 95 resolved reports11 Sept: 0.80 from 95 resolved reports12 Sept: 0.80 from 95 resolved reports12 Sept: 0.80 from 95 resolved reports12 Sept: 0.80 from 97 resolved reports13 Sept: 0.80 from 97 resolved reports14 Sept: 0.80 from 97 resolved reports15 Sept: 0.80 from 97 resolved reports16 Sept: 0.80 from 97 resolved reports17 Sept: 0.80 from 97 resolved reports18 Sept: 0.80 from 97 resolved reports19 Sept: 0.80 from 97 resolved reports2 Sept19 Sept
Measured above the tier they were given.

Resolved calls

40 shown

Hits and misses are listed together in date order, not cherry-picked.