Southampton F.C.Aston Villa F.C. · Permanent · Summer 2026

Confirmedreported done by several independent sources · 19d ago
82%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 1mo agolast moved 19d ago
  1. Rumoured
    20 Aug
  2. Talks
    20 Aug
  3. Agreement
    30 Aug
  4. Medical
    30 Aug
  5. Done
    30 Aug

Catch me up

  1. 20 Augfirst@David_Ornstein: Aston Villa bid £18m plus add-ons for Taylor Harwood-Bellis; Southampton value him higher
  2. 30 AugReached Agreement
  3. 30 AugAdvancing@David_Ornstein: Aston Villa finalising deal with Southampton to sign Taylor Harwood-Bellis for £30m including add-ons
  4. 30 AugJoined by @FabrizioRomano, @Plettigoal
  5. 30 AugReached Medical
  6. 30 AugReached Done
  7. 1 SeptJoined by @JacobsBen

What was actually said

7 posts in 5 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancing2 reports, led by @David_Ornstein
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen19d agono effect

    Aston Villa confirm Taylor Harwood-Bellis has joined from Southampton on a five-year contract. £30m package.🟣 https://t.co/WETepT5dLG

Reported as agreed

Advancing2 reports, led by @David_Ornstein
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 60%claims AgreementView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano20d agono effect

    🚨🟣🔵 Aston Villa have reached a verbal agreement to sign Taylor Harwood Bellis from Southampton, here we go! #AVFC closed the verbal agreement for £25m plus £5m add-ons. Green light from the player. Documents yet to be exchanged but verbal agreement done. https://t.co/dIbdyzDvdv

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 36%claims MedicalView on X ↗

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 8%claims TalksView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 5%claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 82% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+97
David_Ornstein advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+1
David_Ornstein advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, counted at 60%
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−17
5 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
82%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457523 Aug: 18%23 Aug: 18%23 Aug: 18%23 Aug: 19%23 Aug: 19%23 Aug: 19%23 Aug: 19%28 Aug: 21%28 Aug: 21%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 74%30 Aug: 74%30 Aug: 73%30 Aug: 73%30 Aug: 73%30 Aug: 73%30 Aug: 73%30 Aug: 73%30 Aug: 75%30 Aug: 75%30 Aug: 75%30 Aug: 75%30 Aug: 75%31 Aug: 75%31 Aug: 75%31 Aug: 73%31 Aug: 73%31 Aug: 72%31 Aug: 72%31 Aug: 71%31 Aug: 71%1 Sept: 82%29 Aug: −3 points, with no new post30 Aug: +55 points, after @David_Ornstein, @FabrizioRomano, @Plettigoal1 Sept: +11 points, after @JacobsBen23 Aug29 Aug1 Sept
78 recomputations 64 points over the trail
  1. +5520d ago@David_Ornstein: Aston Villa finalising deal with Southampton to sign Taylor Harwood-Bellis for £30m including add-ons · @FabrizioRomano: Aston Villa have reached a verbal agreement to sign Taylor Harwood Bellis from Southampton for £25m plus £5m add-ons · @Plettigoal: Taylor Harwood-Bellis to Aston Villa for £30m package with add-ons, medical scheduled
  2. +1118d ago@JacobsBen: Taylor Harwood-Bellis joins Aston Villa from Southampton on a five-year contract for £30m.
  3. 322d agono new post; decay or a rival moving