Liverpool → Manchester City · Permanent · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 53% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    27 Aug
  2. Talks
    29 Aug
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 27 Augfirst@DiMarzio: Manchester City still interested in pursuing Cody Gakpo
  2. 29 AugReached Talks
  3. 29 AugJoined by @FabrizioRomano, @David_Ornstein, @JacobsBen, @TEAMtalk
  4. 30 AugReached Agreement
  5. 31 AugCooling@David_Ornstein: Manchester City's £75m + £5m bid for Cody Gakpo rejected by Liverpool; pursuit ended

What was actually said

13 posts in 5 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancing5 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano

🚨🔴 Cody Gakpo’s future will be decided after today’s game with key meetings set to take place. Manchester City still heavily involved in talks to sign the Dutch winger, Tottenham there since July. But Liverpool will only sell Cody if they can get a top replacement. https://t.co/00VA7CX5zq

claims Talks+10 pointsView on X ↗
4 other posts, 2 other sources on the same claim
  • @David_Ornstein2mo ago ↗+1

    🚨 EXCLUSIVE: Cody Gakpo decides to join Manchester City & parties now working to reach agreement. 27yo faced 3-way decision after #LFC signed Bradley Barcola; stay or Tottenham Hotspur also options. Dutch int’l chose #MCFC + talks advancing @TheAthleticFC https://t.co/XNvR05Q3OQ

  • @JacobsBen2mo ago ↗

    🚨 Manchester City in formal talks with Liverpool over Cody Gakpo. Understand an opening bid has already been made. As reported last week, #MCFC making a push for the Liverpool attacker, who wants to leave. Liverpool considering their options given how late it is in the window. https://t.co/vcmUSQ2DIn

  • @JacobsBen2mo ago ↗

    Manchester City's push for Gakpo only occurred in the last 10 days or so. Player had previously given encouragement to Spurs, but prior to Manchester City making it clear to him they planned to bid. Clip from @LastWordOnSpurs earlier in the week. https://t.co/lSphaLsjuk

  • @JacobsBen2mo ago ↗

    Manchester City have already made a formal bid for Cody Gakpo. Finances of a proposed deal are not expected to be an issue. Yet as with Andy Robertson’s failed move to Spurs in January, #LFC will not sanction an exit if they feel it leaves them too thin. If Gakpo leaves, https://t.co/TtIjSGKyLU

Said to be cooling

Cooling4 reports, led by @David_Ornstein

🚨 BREAKING: Cody Gakpo to stay at Liverpool. Manchester City had £75m + £5m bid rejected by #LFC & pursuit over - confirmed between all sides in direct communication. #MCFC now fully focused on attempting to sign Enzo Fernandez from Chelsea @TheAthleticFC https://t.co/r47xBCrALk

claims Talks−6 pointsView on X ↗
3 other posts, 2 other sources on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen2mo ago ↗

    🚨 Liverpool intend to keep Cody Gakpo after informing Manchester City this afternoon their bid of around £80m was rejected. Never a guarantee an exit would be sanctioned despite Gakpo being open to the move. Financials less of an issue than #LFC finding a replacement. Barring https://t.co/ISZE0ucP7T

  • @TEAMtalk2mo ago ↗

    🔴 Liverpool reject Man City bid for Cody Gakpo 👇 #LFC #MCFC https://t.co/KvzcnmtjRH

  • @TEAMtalk2mo ago ↗

    Liverpool have turned down a whopping £85m from Man City for Cody Gakpo after failing to find a replacement 😳 https://t.co/taFJwRYfWf

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

TEAMtalk can reveal Tottenham's response to Man City hijacking their deal for Cody Gakpo, and it's fair to say they've been left shocked 😲 @GraemeBailey | #THFC #MCFC #LFCTickets https://t.co/UCGy2jND3w

claims Agreement+2 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as a live interest

Advancing2 reports, led by @DiMarzio

.@ManCity are still interested in pursuing Cody Gakpo and active on Enzo Fernandez deal, but have also explored conditions for @LFC midfielder Alexis Mac Allister as no breakthrough has been reached with @ChelseaFC for Enzo yet, as things currently stand. @SkySport

claims Rumoured+1 pointView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen2mo ago ↗

    🚨 Spurs agree a deal in principle to sign Iliman Ndiaye from Everton. Richarlison is set to re-join Everton in a separate deal, as @David_Ornstein called. Spurs decided to move for Ndiaye after being informed Cody Gakpo wants to join Manchester City. Talks between #LFC and https://t.co/62wtRy085M

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🚨❗️ Liverpool informed Cody Gakpo’s camp they would be ready to keep him at the club if there’s no replacement. All depends on Ismaila Sarr situation. Gakpo had agreed terms with City on Saturday but would also be happy to stay at Liverpool if club decide to close doors. https://t.co/eqjEvcPxBU

claims AgreementView on X ↗

Why it read 53% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+57
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 47% faded
+10
David Ornstein coolingBroke ittrust 0.75, counted at 60%
−6
TEAMtalk advancingBroke ittrust 0.40, 40% faded, counted at 36%
+2
Gianluca Di Marzio advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 57% faded, counted at 22%
+1
David Ornstein advancingtrust 0.75, 44% faded, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 13%
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−13
8 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
53%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: +3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug: +23 points, after @FabrizioRomano29 Aug: +5 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug: +3 points, after @David_Ornstein, @TEAMtalk31 Aug: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting31 Aug: +14 points, after @JacobsBen, @JacobsBen, @JacobsBen, @FabrizioRomano, @JacobsBen, @David_Ornstein, @JacobsBen, @TEAMtalk, @TEAMtalk28 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
73 recomputations▲ 36 points over the trail
  1. +232mo ago@FabrizioRomano: Manchester City in talks to sign Cody Gakpo from Liverpool
  2. +142mo ago@JacobsBen: Manchester City in formal talks with Liverpool over Cody Gakpo with an opening bid already made; Gakpo wants to leave. · @JacobsBen: Manchester City made clear their intention to bid for Gakpo in the last 10 days; player had previously encouraged Spurs but Manchester City's bid push is recent. · @JacobsBen: Cody Gakpo wants to join Manchester City · @FabrizioRomano: Cody Gakpo had agreed terms with Manchester City on Saturday but Liverpool informed his camp they would keep him if no replacement found; move depends on Ismaila Sarr situation. · @JacobsBen: Manchester City have made a formal bid for Cody Gakpo · @David_Ornstein: Manchester City's £75m + £5m bid for Cody Gakpo rejected by Liverpool; pursuit ended · @JacobsBen: Manchester City's bid of around £80m for Cody Gakpo rejected by Liverpool, who intend to keep him. · @TEAMtalk: Liverpool reject Man City bid for Cody Gakpo · @TEAMtalk: Liverpool rejected a £85m bid from Man City for Cody Gakpo due to inability to find a replacement
  3. +52mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  4. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  5. +32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting