Liverpool F.C.Manchester City · Permanent · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 53% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    27 Aug
  2. Talks
    29 Aug
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 27 Augfirst@DiMarzio: Manchester City still interested in pursuing Cody Gakpo
  2. 29 AugReached Talks
  3. 29 AugJoined by @FabrizioRomano, @David_Ornstein, @JacobsBen, @TEAMtalk
  4. 30 AugReached Agreement
  5. 31 AugCooling@David_Ornstein: Manchester City's £75m + £5m bid for Cody Gakpo rejected by Liverpool; pursuit ended

What was actually said

13 posts in 5 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancing5 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano
4 other posts, 2 other sources on the same claim
  • @David_Ornstein21d ago+1

    🚨 EXCLUSIVE: Cody Gakpo decides to join Manchester City & parties now working to reach agreement. 27yo faced 3-way decision after #LFC signed Bradley Barcola; stay or Tottenham Hotspur also options. Dutch int’l chose #MCFC + talks advancing @TheAthleticFC https://t.co/XNvR05Q3OQ

  • @JacobsBen21d agono effect

    🚨 Manchester City in formal talks with Liverpool over Cody Gakpo. Understand an opening bid has already been made. As reported last week, #MCFC making a push for the Liverpool attacker, who wants to leave. Liverpool considering their options given how late it is in the window. https://t.co/vcmUSQ2DIn

  • @JacobsBen21d agono effect

    Manchester City's push for Gakpo only occurred in the last 10 days or so. Player had previously given encouragement to Spurs, but prior to Manchester City making it clear to him they planned to bid. Clip from @LastWordOnSpurs earlier in the week. https://t.co/lSphaLsjuk

  • @JacobsBen19d agono effect

    Manchester City have already made a formal bid for Cody Gakpo. Finances of a proposed deal are not expected to be an issue. Yet as with Andy Robertson’s failed move to Spurs in January, #LFC will not sanction an exit if they feel it leaves them too thin. If Gakpo leaves, https://t.co/TtIjSGKyLU

Said to be cooling

Cooling4 reports, led by @David_Ornstein
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 60%claims TalksView on X ↗
3 other posts, 2 other sources on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen19d agono effect

    🚨 Liverpool intend to keep Cody Gakpo after informing Manchester City this afternoon their bid of around £80m was rejected. Never a guarantee an exit would be sanctioned despite Gakpo being open to the move. Financials less of an issue than #LFC finding a replacement. Barring https://t.co/ISZE0ucP7T

  • @TEAMtalk19d agono effect

    🔴 Liverpool reject Man City bid for Cody Gakpo 👇 #LFC #MCFC https://t.co/KvzcnmtjRH

  • @TEAMtalk19d agono effect

    Liverpool have turned down a whopping £85m from Man City for Cody Gakpo after failing to find a replacement 😳 https://t.co/taFJwRYfWf

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 36%claims AgreementView on X ↗

Reported as a live interest

Advancing2 reports, led by @DiMarzio
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 22%claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen20d agono effect

    🚨 Spurs agree a deal in principle to sign Iliman Ndiaye from Everton. Richarlison is set to re-join Everton in a separate deal, as @David_Ornstein called. Spurs decided to move for Ndiaye after being informed Cody Gakpo wants to join Manchester City. Talks between #LFC and https://t.co/62wtRy085M

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 3%claims AgreementView on X ↗

Why it read 53% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+57
FabrizioRomano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 47% faded
+10
David_Ornstein coolingBroke ittrust 0.75, counted at 60%
−6
TEAMtalk advancingBroke ittrust 0.40, 40% faded, counted at 36%
+2
DiMarzio advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 57% faded, counted at 22%
+1
David_Ornstein advancingtrust 0.75, 44% faded, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 13%
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−13
8 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
53%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

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73 recomputations 36 points over the trail
  1. +2321d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. +1419d ago@FabrizioRomano: Cody Gakpo had agreed terms with Manchester City on Saturday but Liverpool informed his camp they would keep him if no replacement found; move depends on Ismaila Sarr situation. · @JacobsBen: Manchester City have made a formal bid for Cody Gakpo · @David_Ornstein: Manchester City's £75m + £5m bid for Cody Gakpo rejected by Liverpool; pursuit ended · @JacobsBen: Manchester City's bid of around £80m for Cody Gakpo rejected by Liverpool, who intend to keep him. · @TEAMtalk: Liverpool reject Man City bid for Cody Gakpo · @TEAMtalk: Liverpool rejected a £85m bid from Man City for Cody Gakpo due to inability to find a replacement
  3. +521d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  4. 420d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  5. +321d ago@FabrizioRomano: Manchester City in talks to sign Cody Gakpo from Liverpool