Sunderland A.F.C.Chelsea F.C. · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 15% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    27 Jun
  2. Talks
    27 Jun
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 27 Junfirst@Plettigoal: Granit Xhaka and Chelsea have reached a full verbal agreement with personal terms fully agreed
  2. 27 JunJoined by @FabrizioRomano, @MirrorFootball, @JacobsBen, @TEAMtalk
  3. 27 JunCooling@TEAMtalk: Chelsea most advanced in race to sign Sunderland captain, but Sunderland insist no contact has been received
  4. 27 JunAdvancing@JacobsBen: Granit Xhaka wants to join Chelsea; Chelsea prepared to move but not at suggested figures, though Sunderland unwilling to sell.
  5. 28 JunCooling@David_Ornstein: Sunderland reject Chelsea's £8m bid for Granit Xhaka, insist 33yo not for sale at any price
  6. 28 JunJoined by @David_Ornstein
  7. 28 JunAdvancing@Plettigoal: New talks between Chelsea and Sunderland scheduled for Monday; deal difficult but not off; Xhaka wants to join Chelsea.
  8. 3 JulCooling@JacobsBen: Chelsea remain interested in Xhaka but Sunderland have rejected an £8m offer and communicated he is not for sale
  9. 4 JulJoined by @DiMarzio

What was actually said

27 posts in 7 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancing7 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano
6 other posts, 4 other sources on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen3mo agono effect

    Granit Xhaka wants to join Chelsea, even though Sunderland won’t welcome offers. Chelsea prepared to move, just not at some of the figures suggested.⬇️ https://t.co/ZmSIKIZ0FO

  • @FabrizioRomano3mo agono effect

    🚨🔵 The agreement between Chelsea and Granit Xhaka on personal terms is guaranteed. Xhaka is driving the move personally as he wants #CFC, wants to reunite with Xabi Alonso and wants to live in London. Deal depends on the clubs. 🎥 https://t.co/i1adjykerw https://t.co/tyeK5vL63H

  • @Plettigoal3mo agono effect

    🚨🛜 New talks between Chelsea and Sunderland over Granit Xhaka are scheduled for Monday. Senior executives from both clubs remain in direct contact. ⚠️ The deal remains difficult, but is not off at this stage. Xhaka’s position is clear: he wants to join Chelsea and work under https://t.co/QVSfThslS0

  • @FabrizioRomano3mo agono effect

    🚨🔵 Chelsea will continue talks with Sunderland this week for Granit Xhaka deal, trying to unlock the negotiation. £8m not enough but player keeps on pushing to join #CFC and work again under Xabi Alonso. https://t.co/Owd8bW7To8

  • @MirrorFootball3mo agono effect

    "I'm really happy to finally have a summer without any speculation about my future" 😬 Granit Xhaka's comments from earlier this month have resurfaced amid reports that the Sunderland captain has agreed personal terms with Chelsea 🔵 https://t.co/QV0yYeZDex https://t.co/R5rEfa7wQ8

  • @TEAMtalk3mo agono effect

    🔵 Chelsea are pushing ahead in their chase for Sunderland star Granit Xhaka, with fresh talks planned today despite their 'disrespectful' opening offer 🤷‍♂️ #CFC #SAFC https://t.co/Or0mS3GztS

Denied outright

Denial5 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@MirrorFootball had it first, 3mo ago
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 60%claims TalksView on X ↗
4 other posts, 3 other sources on the same claim
  • @MirrorFootball3mo agono effect

    NEW: Granit Xhaka has decided to stay at Sunderland, rejecting a move to Chelsea ❌ Full story 👇 https://t.co/mA2cHu4r1z https://t.co/YXhFF6sLmB

  • @DiMarzio3mo agono effect

    itGranit Xhaka has personally confirmed to Xabi Alonso that he will not join Chelsea and will remain at Sunderland

    Granit Xhaka ha confermato personalmente a Xabi Alonso che non andrà al @ChelseaFC. Lo svizzero resterà al @SunderlandAFC https://t.co/AfO3BYN3XJ

  • @FabrizioRomano3mo agono effect

    🚨 Sunderland inform Chelsea they do not plan to revisit their position on Granit Xhaka deal. He’s not for sale, it’s not about the price or conditions. All Chelsea attempts have been stopped and #CFC want to mantain good relationship. 🎥 https://t.co/KlA448JZLr https://t.co/t8XsLw2y0p

  • @TEAMtalk2mo agono effect

    🔴⚪️Granit Xhaka has publicly stated he won't leave his "home" in Sunderland amid a push from Chelsea #SAFC https://t.co/jxUGnKucHY

Said to be cooling

Cooling7 reports, led by @David_Ornstein
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 22%claims TalksView on X ↗
6 other posts, 4 other sources on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen2mo agono effect

    🚨 Chelsea working a deal to sign Jordan Henderson from Brentford. An exit is possible on a free transfer. Henderson is keen on the move. It follows a rejected bid for Granit Xhaka. #CFC seeking experience and leadership. Henderson's character viewed as a big factor as well. https://t.co/H0tOJQ4X6K

  • @FabrizioRomano3mo agono effect

    🚨❌ Chelsea had opening £8m bid rejected by Sunderland for Granit Xhaka. #SAFC closed doors and want to keep the player, as @David_Ornstein reports. Chelsea remain keen as Xhaka wants #CFC move to return to London and reunite with Xabi Alonso. 🎥 https://t.co/qzxiTRDp32 https://t.co/QpwrKwKQbG

  • @MirrorFootball3mo agono effect

    Chelsea have seen an £8m bid for Granit Xhaka rejected - and Sunderland insist they WON'T sell their midfield star at any price 🚨❌ https://t.co/uHgcZq5Wx9 https://t.co/uIs3Xsnu0h

  • @JacobsBen3mo agono effect

    Sunderland expect Granit Xhaka to stay following fresh talks with the player, and have again communicated to Chelsea he is not for sale. Consistent stance from the club since rejecting a £8m offer. Chelsea remain interested and active knowing Xhaka is attracted by the prospect https://t.co/ntIhysIL8F

  • @TEAMtalk3mo agono effect

    🔴⚪️Sunderland are fuming at Chelsea and the way they have attempted to sign skipper Granit Xhaka ✍️@GraemeBailey | #SAFC https://t.co/5rZhGPqoPC

  • @JacobsBen3mo agono effect

    Sunderland expect Granit Xhaka to stay following fresh talks with the player, and have again communicated to Chelsea he is not for sale. Consistent stance from the club since rejecting a £8m offer. Chelsea remain interested and active knowing Xhaka is attracted by the prospect https://t.co/LD60YpLjwq

Reported as agreed

Advancing2 reports, led by @Plettigoal
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 8%claims AgreementView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @Plettigoal3mo agono effect

    🚨🔵 Xabi Alonso made it clear internally from the start that he wanted to sign Granit Xhaka. 33 y/o captain is in full agreement with Chelsea as revealed. Salary and contract length have all been agreed. #CFC The transfer fee is expected to be in a similar range to the one https://t.co/O6hUXMkMC4

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 2%claims TalksView on X ↗

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 1%claims RumouredView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral4 reports, led by @JacobsBen@MirrorFootball had it first, 3mo ago
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 0%claims RumouredView on X ↗
3 other posts, 2 other sources on the same claim
  • @MirrorFootball3mo agono effect

    All the latest transfer news as Chelsea eye a shock move for Granit Xhaka 🔵🗞️ https://t.co/ZPCjf1b7zT https://t.co/keRwXtcGFp

  • @TEAMtalk3mo agono effect

    Who saw this coming? Granit Xhaka and Xabi Alonso are reportedly keen on reuniting at Chelsea 🫨 https://t.co/28RBhp2Gbj

  • @JacobsBen3mo agono effect

    🚨 Chelsea are interested in signing Sunderland midfielder Granit Xhaka. Player keen on playing under Xabi Alonso again following their spell at Leverkusen together. Sunderland don’t want to sell, while Chelsea value Xhaka at far less than some of the numbers suggested given he https://t.co/vHX7T2IIsE

Why it read 15% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+15
27 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
15%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%1 Sept: 15%1 Sept: 15%2 Sept: 15%29 Aug: −17 points, with no new post29 Aug: +9 points, with no new post29 Aug: −7 points, with no new post28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
67 recomputations 15 points over the trail
  1. 1720d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. +919d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. 719d agono new post; decay or a rival moving