TransferHype
Winter 2027

Tosin Adarabioyo

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Chelsea F.C. → Tottenham Hotspur F.C. · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedreported done by several independent sources · 17d ago
89%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 18d agolast moved 17d ago
  1. Rumoured
    31 Aug
  2. Talks
    31 Aug
  3. Agreement
    31 Aug
  4. Medical
    31 Aug
  5. Done
    31 Aug

Catch me up

  1. 31 Augfirst@FabrizioRomano: Tottenham working on deal to sign Tosin Adarabioyo from Chelsea if Kevin Danso leaves
  2. 31 AugReached Agreement
  3. 31 AugReached Medical
  4. 31 AugJoined by @David_Ornstein, @TEAMtalk
  5. 31 AugReached Done

What was actually said

5 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancing2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk17d ago ↗no effect

    Tottenham have completed signings number nine and 10 of the summer after capturing Mykhailo Mudryk and Tosin Adarabioyo ✍️ #THFC https://t.co/JgHBnFtCwT

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 60%claims MedicalView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 36%claims TalksView on X ↗

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 22%claims AgreementView on X ↗

Why it read 89% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+99
FabrizioRomano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−10
4 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
89%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457531 Aug: 45%31 Aug: 45%31 Aug: 81%31 Aug: 81%1 Sept: 89%31 Aug: +36 points, after @David_Ornstein, @TEAMtalk, @FabrizioRomano1 Sept: +8 points, after @TEAMtalk31 Aug31 Aug1 Sept
5 recomputations▲ 45 points over the trail
  1. +3618d ago@David_Ornstein: Tottenham reach agreement with Chelsea to sign Tosin Adarabioyo on permanent deal; personal terms done and medical permission granted. · @TEAMtalk: Tottenham have an agreement in place over Tosin Adarabioyo · @FabrizioRomano: Tosin Adarabioyo to Tottenham, deal agreed on personal terms. Chelsea receive £7m fixed fee plus add-ons.
  2. +817d ago@TEAMtalk: Tottenham completed signing of Tosin Adarabioyo