Chelsea → Tottenham Hotspur · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedreported done by several independent sources · 2mo ago
89%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 2mo agolast moved 2mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    31 Aug
  2. Talks
    31 Aug
  3. Agreement
    31 Aug
  4. Medical
    31 Aug
  5. Done
    31 Aug

Catch me up

  1. 31 Augfirst@FabrizioRomano: Tottenham working on deal to sign Tosin Adarabioyo from Chelsea if Kevin Danso leaves
  2. 31 AugReached Agreement
  3. 31 AugReached Medical
  4. 31 AugJoined by @David_Ornstein, @TEAMtalk, @MatteMoretto
  5. 31 AugReached Done
  6. 1 SeptJoined by @JacobsBen

What was actually said

8 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancing3 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano

🚨⚪️ Tosin Adarabioyo to Tottenham, here we go! Deal agreed also on personal terms. Understand #CFC receive £7m fixed fee plus add-ons for the defender who’s joining Spurs project. The story revealed in the morning, confirmed. https://t.co/F94qZypvAH

claims Done+1 pointView on X ↗
2 other posts, 2 other sources on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk2mo ago ↗

    Tottenham have completed signings number nine and 10 of the summer after capturing Mykhailo Mudryk and Tosin Adarabioyo ✍️ #THFC https://t.co/JgHBnFtCwT

  • @JacobsBen2mo ago ↗name shared — matched from context

    Spurs confirm Tosin has joined from Chelsea. Deal is worth up to £12m including add-ons.⚪️ https://t.co/TEXYeNkkAk

Reported at medical stage

Advancing2 reports, led by @David_Ornstein

🚨 Tottenham Hotspur reach agreement with Chelsea to sign Tosin Adarabioyo. Permanent move from #CFC; personal terms done + permission granted to take #THFC medical. Mykhailo Mudryk loan agreed between clubs - personals still need finalising @TheAthleticFC https://t.co/hxaY6EXFWN

claims MedicalView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @MatteMoretto2mo ago ↗name shared — matched from context

    esTosin to Tottenham, deal agreed, medical this morning, direct transfer

    Tosin al Tottenham, todo acordado, reconocimiento medico esta mañana: fue una elección expresa de De Zerbi que lo sigue desde que estaba en Marsella. Traspaso directo.

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano

🚨⚪️ Understand Tottenham are working on deal to sign Tosin Adarabioyo from Chelsea. It’s a concrete possibility discussed today if Kevin Danso leaves Spurs. #thfc https://t.co/7m4KzHhPEv

claims TalksView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano2mo ago ↗name shared — matched from context

    🚨⚪️ Tottenham are ready to buy Tosin on permanent deal from Chelsea if they can also get Mudryk loan deal done. Initial enquiry for Tosin loan but moving onto permanent deal after #THFC ask for Mudryk due to Ndiaye deal complications + only 1 loan allowed. https://t.co/2u3ROurvbD

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

🔥 Tottenham and Chelsea have agreements in place over Tosin Adarabioyo and Mykhailo Mudryk #THFC #CFC https://t.co/ZwoC2brvGE

claims AgreementView on X ↗

Why it read 89% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+99
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−10
4 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
89%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457531 Aug: +36 points, after @David_Ornstein, @TEAMtalk, @FabrizioRomano1 Sept: +8 points, after @TEAMtalk31 Aug31 Aug1 Sept
5 recomputations▲ 45 points over the trail
  1. +362mo ago@David_Ornstein: Tottenham reach agreement with Chelsea to sign Tosin Adarabioyo on permanent deal; personal terms done and medical permission granted. · @TEAMtalk: Tottenham have an agreement in place over Tosin Adarabioyo · @FabrizioRomano: Tosin Adarabioyo to Tottenham, deal agreed on personal terms. Chelsea receive £7m fixed fee plus add-ons.
  2. +82mo ago@TEAMtalk: Tottenham completed signing of Tosin Adarabioyo