Arsenal → Galatasaray · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 12% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    6 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 6 Augfirst@DiMarzio: itMartinelli has entered Galatasaray's shortlist
  2. 10 AugReached Talks
  3. 10 AugJoined by @JacobsBen
  4. 12 AugJoined by @Plettigoal
  5. 12 AugCooling@Plettigoal: No agreement yet between Gabriel Martinelli and Galatasaray; €45m offer including add-ons submitted to Arsenal in writing.
  6. 13 AugAdvancing@Plettigoal: Galatasaray have submitted a €45m offer for Gabriel Martinelli and are awaiting Arsenal's response.
  7. 14 AugCooling@David_Ornstein: Martinelli's camp says he has no interest in Galatasaray move despite €45m bid from Turkish club
  8. 14 AugJoined by @David_Ornstein, @FabrizioRomano

What was actually said

9 posts in 6 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report

🚨❌ The €45m offer from Galatasaray to Arsenal now confirmed. However, Gabriel Martinelli’s camp have informed Arsenal that he has rejected joining Galatasaray. Post @David_Ornstein and confirmed. As reported, there was also no agreement between Martinelli/Gala. 🇧🇷 https://t.co/ImZAb75Rxc https://t.co/7RG69t8Mp8

claims Talks−3 pointsView on X ↗

Denied outright

Denial2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano

🚨 Gabriel Martinelli never considered a move to Turkey at this stage of his career as realistic option. Nothing expected to happen in the upcoming weeks with Turkish clubs, including Galatasaray as @David_Ornstein reports. https://t.co/YkqBpayP7Z

claims Rumoured−1 pointView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano3mo ago ↗

    🚨🇹🇷 Gabriel Martinelli, never close to joining Galatasaray as he doesn’t plan any switch to Turkey now. Rafa Leão remains on Gala shortlist. Update powered by @sportpusula. https://t.co/ZZfPJT81l4

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @Plettigoal

🚨💣 EXCL | Galatasaray have submitted an official €45m offer for Gabriel Martinelli today. The offer is now on Arsenal’s table. Martinelli is currently Galatasaray’s top transfer priority. @SkySportDE 🇧🇷 https://t.co/RWlq4lvVLd

claims TalksView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @Plettigoal3mo ago ↗

    🚨⤵️ Galatasaray are hoping to receive a response from Arsenal in the coming hours regarding their €45m offer for Gabriel Martinelli. https://t.co/7RG69t8Mp8

Said to be cooling

Cooling2 reports, led by @Plettigoal

🚨🦁 More on the exclusive news: There is no agreement yet between Gabriel Martinelli and Galatasaray. Galatasaray’s main priority is now to reach an agreement with Arsenal first. The €45m offer including add-ons was submitted in writing today. Rafael Leao remains on their https://t.co/oZxg2j79Pc

claims TalksView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @David_Ornstein3mo ago ↗

    🚨 EXCL: Gabriel Martinelli camp inform Arsenal winger has no interest in joining Galatasaray. #AFC received €45m bid from Turkish club & open to trading if suitable offers arrive but #Galatasaray not on agenda for 25yo Brazil international @TheAthleticFC https://t.co/iFpWOjlES0

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Gabriel Martinelli a potential option for Galatasaray as no breakthrough yet in talks for Rafael Leão. Galatasaray made an exploratory approach to Arsenal over the weekend. Not a sale Arsenal expected to sanction without a replacement.🇧🇷 https://t.co/yBcT17CnUg

claims TalksView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

itMartinelli has entered Galatasaray's shortlist

.@GalatasaraySK, non solo Leao: entra nella shortlist del club anche Martinelli https://t.co/q08b6yTQae

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 12% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+20
Florian Plettenberg denialBroke ittrust 0.90, 89% faded
−3
Fabrizio Romano denialBroke ittrust 0.85, 89% faded, counted at 60%
−1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−5
6 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
12%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457523 Aug: +5 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination28 Aug: +3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting28 Aug: −9 points, after @DiMarzio, @FabrizioRomano15 Aug28 Aug30 Aug
81 recomputations▼ 1 points over the trail
  1. −92mo ago@DiMarzio: Martinelli has entered Galatasaray's shortlist · @FabrizioRomano: Gabriel Martinelli has not considered a move to Galatasaray as a realistic option and nothing is expected to happen with Turkish clubs
  2. +52mo agonews on a rival destination
  3. +32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting