Tottenham Hotspur → Everton · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 67% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    30 Aug
  2. Talks
    30 Aug
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 30 Augfirst@David_Ornstein: Agreement in principle reached for Richarlison to move from Tottenham Hotspur to Everton, subject to personal terms and medicals
  2. 30 AugJoined by @JacobsBen
  3. 31 AugJoined by @FabrizioRomano

What was actually said

4 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as agreed

Advancing2 reports, led by @David_Ornstein

🚨 EXCL: Agreement in principle reached for Iliman Ndiaye to join Tottenham Hotspur from Everton & Richarlison to move opposite way in separate transfers. Deals for 26yo #EFC attacker + 29yo #THFC forward subject to personal terms / medicals @TheAthleticFC https://t.co/R0KGDjBlKc

claims Agreement+12 pointsView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen2mo ago ↗+1

    Spurs and Everton now working on terms with Ndiaye and Richarlison. As of Sunday lunch, club-to-club agreements in place. £60m fee for Ndiaye. https://t.co/PqylX5iVhU

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🚨 Spurs agree a deal in principle to sign Iliman Ndiaye from Everton. Richarlison is set to re-join Everton in a separate deal, as @David_Ornstein called. Spurs decided to move for Ndiaye after being informed Cody Gakpo wants to join Manchester City. Talks between #LFC and https://t.co/62wtRy085M

claims Talks+5 pointsView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🚨🔵⚪️ EXCL: Manchester City made again contact with Iliman Ndiaye’s agents today as Gakpo deal is in danger. Liverpool do not rule out to keep Cody Gakpo if they can’t find replacement. Ndiaye’s move to Tottenham is not done yet with Richarlison doubts over Everton return. https://t.co/dR8Tbb7H8i

claims Rumoured+1 pointView on X ↗

Why it read 67% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+57
David Ornstein advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+12
Ben Jacobs advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 60%
+5
Ben Jacobs advancingtrust 0.55, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 36%
+1
Fabrizio Romano neutralBroke ittrust 0.75, counted at 22%
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−8
Completion probability
67%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457531 Aug: +4 points, after @JacobsBen, @FabrizioRomano1 Sept: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting2 Sept: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug31 Aug2 Sept
24 recomputations▼ 7 points over the trail
  1. +42mo ago@JacobsBen: Richarlison set to re-join Everton · @FabrizioRomano: Doubts over Richarlison's return to Everton.
  2. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting