Everton → Tottenham Hotspur · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 33% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    28 Aug
  2. Talks
    30 Aug
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 28 Augfirst@TEAMtalk: Tottenham Hotspur joined Man City in the race to sign Iliman Ndiaye, potentially as part of a swap deal
  2. 30 AugReached Agreement
  3. 30 AugReached Talks
  4. 30 AugJoined by @David_Ornstein, @JacobsBen
  5. 31 AugCooling@FabrizioRomano: Iliman Ndiaye to Spurs deal yet to proceed at this stage, with Man City still attentive
  6. 31 AugJoined by @FabrizioRomano

What was actually said

6 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as agreed

Advancing3 reports, led by @David_Ornstein

🚨 EXCL: Agreement in principle reached for Iliman Ndiaye to join Tottenham Hotspur from Everton & Richarlison to move opposite way in separate transfers. Deals for 26yo #EFC attacker + 29yo #THFC forward subject to personal terms / medicals @TheAthleticFC https://t.co/R0KGDjBlKc

claims Agreement+13 pointsView on X ↗
2 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen2mo ago ↗+1

    🚨 Spurs agree a deal in principle to sign Iliman Ndiaye from Everton. Richarlison is set to re-join Everton in a separate deal, as @David_Ornstein called. Spurs decided to move for Ndiaye after being informed Cody Gakpo wants to join Manchester City. Talks between #LFC and https://t.co/62wtRy085M

  • @JacobsBen2mo ago ↗name shared — matched from context

    Spurs and Everton now working on terms with Ndiaye and Richarlison. As of Sunday lunch, club-to-club agreements in place. £60m fee for Ndiaye. https://t.co/PqylX5iVhU

Said to be cooling

Cooling2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano

🚨⚠️ There’s still no agreement as of now between Everton and Richarlison over personal terms. This is why Iliman Ndiaye and Spurs deal is yet to proceed at this stage, with Man City still attentive. https://t.co/zEnDYIUNeg

claims Talks−6 pointsView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano2mo ago ↗−2

    🚨🔵⚪️ EXCL: Manchester City made again contact with Iliman Ndiaye’s agents today as Gakpo deal is in danger. Liverpool do not rule out to keep Cody Gakpo if they can’t find replacement. Ndiaye’s move to Tottenham is not done yet with Richarlison doubts over Everton return. https://t.co/dR8Tbb7H8i

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Tottenham Hotspur have now joined Man City in the race to sign Iliman Ndiaye, who could move as part of a swap deal. Full story 👇 https://t.co/rNobpmFbIT

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 33% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+59
David Ornstein advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+13
Fabrizio Romano coolingBroke ittrust 0.75, counted at 60%
−6
Fabrizio Romano coolingtrust 0.75, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 36%
−2
Ben Jacobs advancingtrust 0.55, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 22%
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−32
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
33%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457530 Aug: +48 points, after @David_Ornstein, @JacobsBen31 Aug: −21 points, after @JacobsBen, @FabrizioRomano, @FabrizioRomano28 Aug31 Aug1 Sept
69 recomputations▲ 21 points over the trail
  1. +482mo ago@David_Ornstein: Agreement in principle reached for Iliman Ndiaye to join Tottenham Hotspur from Everton, subject to personal terms and medicals · @JacobsBen: Spurs and Everton working on terms with Ndiaye; club-to-club agreement in place for £60m fee.
  2. −212mo ago@JacobsBen: Spurs agree a deal in principle to sign Iliman Ndiaye from Everton · @FabrizioRomano: Iliman Ndiaye to Spurs deal yet to proceed at this stage, with Man City still attentive · @FabrizioRomano: Iliman Ndiaye's move to Tottenham is not done yet.