Everton → Manchester City · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedreported done by several independent sources · 2mo ago
51%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 2mo agolast moved 2mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    28 Aug
  2. Talks
    31 Aug
  3. Agreement
    31 Aug
  4. Medical
    31 Aug
  5. Done
    31 Aug

Catch me up

  1. 28 Augfirst@TEAMtalk: Man City in the race to sign Iliman Ndiaye, potentially as part of a swap deal
  2. 31 AugReached Talks
  3. 31 AugJoined by @FabrizioRomano, @DiMarzio, @David_Ornstein, @JacobsBen
  4. 31 AugReached Agreement
  5. 31 AugReached Medical
  6. 31 AugReached Done

What was actually said

15 posts in 5 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancing3 reports, led by @David_Ornstein

🚨 EXCL: Manchester City reach agreement in principle to sign Iliman Ndiaye. Deal for 26yo attacker £65m package + in process of being finalised; medical expected Tuesday morning. At paperwork stage before Senegal int’l joins #MCFC from #EFC @TheAthleticFC https://t.co/trypfCitdV

claims Medical+1 pointView on X ↗
2 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano2mo ago ↗

    🚨⚪️🔵 BREAKING: Manchester City agree deal to sign Iliman Ndiaye from Everton, here we go! Club to club agreement in place and green light for medical tests — fee worth £65m package. Personal terms also in place. Exclusive story revealed today, now confirmed. https://t.co/cLwpBCRlYV

  • @FabrizioRomano2mo ago ↗

    🚨🇸🇳 Iliman Ndiaye has authorization from Everton to undergo a medical at Manchester City. The deal will be worth £60m fixed fee plus £5m add-ons, contract also agreed. The secret contacts reactivated as revealed today are now a done deal. ✅ https://t.co/f0268unhx9

Reported as being in talks

Advancing5 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano

🚨🔵⚪️ EXCL: Manchester City made again contact with Iliman Ndiaye’s agents today as Gakpo deal is in danger. Liverpool do not rule out to keep Cody Gakpo if they can’t find replacement. Ndiaye’s move to Tottenham is not done yet with Richarlison doubts over Everton return. https://t.co/dR8Tbb7H8i

claims TalksView on X ↗
4 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano2mo ago ↗

    🚨🔵⚪️ Manchester City are back in talks with Everton for Iliman Ndiaye, as revealed. Tottenham deal depends on Richarlison and #MCFC back in contact with Everton today about Ndiaye. City are ready to involve Jack Grealish in the negotiations, a top target for Everton. https://t.co/n5U7bgrz0Z

  • @DiMarzio2mo ago ↗

    .@ManCity are in advanced talks to sign Iliman Ndiaye from @Everton, deal at final stage @SkySport

  • @FabrizioRomano2mo ago ↗

    🚨🔵⚪️ Manchester City are advancing in talks for Iliman Ndiaye as exclusively revealed earlier today. Jack Grealish can join Everton in separate negotiation, deal underway. #MCFC currently ahead of Tottenham who asked for Mykhaylo Mudryk on loan today. https://t.co/iRBjqOhsdE

  • @FabrizioRomano2mo ago ↗

    🚨🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Jack Grealish deal will be separate from Iliman Ndiaye to Manchester City. Negotiations between Everton and City are well underway… while Aston Villa called again today after they did the same last week. Jack’s future will be decided soon. https://t.co/6oVXsbuRRy

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

🚨 Manchester City agree a £60m+£5m deal with Everton for Iliman Ndiaye. #MCFC moved this evening after Liverpool informed them Cody Gakpo was not for sale. Ndiaye interest exclusively reported last week. Player was waiting to formalise a proposed Spurs move due to favouring a https://t.co/Vd051Bar8f

claims AgreementView on X ↗

Reported as done

Advancing5 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano@TEAMtalk had it first, 2mo ago

🩵🇸🇳 Official, confirmed. Iliman Ndiaye has joined Manchester City on £65m package from Everton. https://t.co/ZMUn8UMc7T

claims DoneView on X ↗
4 other posts, 2 other sources on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk2mo ago ↗

    🔵 Iliman Ndiaye is joining Man City from Everton, as Tottenham suffer brutal transfer blow @GraemeBailey | #MCFC #EFC #THFC https://t.co/FlQJBJ5yGi

  • @JacobsBen2mo ago ↗

    Manchester City confirm Iliman Ndiaye has joined on a five-year contract. £60m+£5m fee. Interest exclusively called on @talkSPORT last week.👕 https://t.co/kF8N2fp3Yl

  • @TEAMtalk2mo ago ↗

    Sounds like Iliman Ndiaye was never even contemplating joining Tottenham, after completing his Man City switch 🤷‍♂️ #MCFC #THFC https://t.co/g46IQq7Kxe

  • @FabrizioRomano2mo ago ↗name shared — matched from context

    Grealish + Ndiaye. 🔁✅ #EFC #MCFC https://t.co/SG83WTlsMZ

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Tottenham Hotspur have now joined Man City in the race to sign Iliman Ndiaye, who could move as part of a swap deal. Full story 👇 https://t.co/rNobpmFbIT

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 51% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+99
David Ornstein advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−49
13 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
51%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457531 Aug: +40 points, after @FabrizioRomano, @FabrizioRomano, @DiMarzio, @FabrizioRomano, @David_Ornstein, @FabrizioRomano, @FabrizioRomano, @JacobsBen, @FabrizioRomano, @TEAMtalk28 Aug30 Aug1 Sept
69 recomputations▲ 39 points over the trail
  1. +402mo ago@FabrizioRomano: Manchester City made contact with Iliman Ndiaye's agents as they pursue him. · @FabrizioRomano: Manchester City back in talks with Everton for Iliman Ndiaye, ready to involve Jack Grealish in negotiations. · @DiMarzio: Manchester City in advanced talks to sign Iliman Ndiaye from Everton, deal at final stage · @FabrizioRomano: Manchester City advancing in talks for Iliman Ndiaye · @David_Ornstein: Manchester City reach agreement in principle to sign Iliman Ndiaye from Everton for £65m package; medical expected Tuesday morning · @FabrizioRomano: Manchester City agree deal to sign Iliman Ndiaye from Everton for £65m, medical tests green-lit · @FabrizioRomano: Negotiations between Everton and Manchester City well underway for Iliman Ndiaye · @JacobsBen: Manchester City agree £60m+£5m deal with Everton for Iliman Ndiaye · @FabrizioRomano: Iliman Ndiaye has authorization from Everton to undergo a medical at Manchester City; deal worth £60m fixed plus £5m add-ons with contract agreed. · @TEAMtalk: Iliman Ndiaye joining Man City from Everton