🚨💥 Carlos Baleba to Manchester United - DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement now reached with Brighton. Transfer fee is at least worth around £70m. Personal terms about a long-term contract were already agreed, as revealed. #MUFC received green light for his medical now. Baleba has https://t.co/JCw5K797Hy
Brighton → Manchester United · Permanent · Summer 2026
✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
92%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 5mo agolast moved 2mo ago
- Rumoured11 Jun
- Talks19 Aug
- Agreement21 Aug
- Medical21 Aug
- Done30 Aug
Catch me up
- 11 Junfirst@TEAMtalk: Manchester United focusing on deal for Carlos Baleba
- 6 AugCooling@TEAMtalk: New developments mean it looks unlikely Carlos Baleba will arrive at Man Utd this summer
- 19 AugReached Talks
- 19 AugAdvancing@David_Ornstein: Manchester United closing in on deal to sign Carlos Baleba from Brighton & Hove Albion; offer of ~£60+5m with amicable talks continuing
- 19 AugJoined by @David_Ornstein
- 21 AugReached Agreement
- 21 AugReached Medical
- 21 AugJoined by @Plettigoal
- 30 AugReached Done
- 30 AugJoined by @JacobsBen
What was actually said
11 posts in 6 claims, grouped by stage and direction.
Reported at medical stage
Advancing2 reports, led by @Plettigoal1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
- @David_Ornstein3mo ago ↗
🚨 Carlos Baleba to join Manchester United from Brighton & Hove Albion on 5+1yr contract; personal terms verbally agreed & 22yo to do #MUFC medical on Saturday after deal struck with #BHAFC at £65m + £5m + sell-on clause @TheAthleticFC post @FabrizioRomano https://t.co/PVzrRhSp1U
Reported as being in talks
Advancingone reportReported as done
Advancingone reportclaims DoneView on X ↗
Said to be cooling
Coolingone reportclaims RumouredView on X ↗
Reported as a live interest
Advancing2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 5mo agoclaims RumouredView on X ↗
Mentioned, no claim either way
Neutral4 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 4mo agoclaims RumouredView on X ↗
3 other posts on the same claim
- @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗
🔴Manchester United could return to the fold for Carlos Baleba if his price tag is lowered... #MUFC https://t.co/SsDQ3fil2f
- @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗
⚡️ Man Utd are in a position to strike quickly for Carlos Baleba, but two other targets are currently preferred ⤵️ #MUFC https://t.co/ZwYprFPzBP
- @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗
🔥 Man Utd are planning to move for Alex Scott or Carlos Baleba once Manuel Ugarte is sold, according to a report ⤵️ #MUFC https://t.co/Ki7Ndc6cXX
Why it read 92% before it settled
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+88
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 62% faded
+2
David Ornstein advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 73% faded, counted at 60%
+1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
92%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.