AC Milan → RB Leipzig · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
73%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 3mo agolast moved 3mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    21 Aug
  2. Talks
    21 Aug
  3. Agreement
    23 Aug
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 21 Augfirst@Plettigoal: RB Leipzig ahead in race for Nkunku and in concrete negotiations with AC Milan
  2. 23 AugReached Agreement
  3. 23 AugJoined by @DiMarzio, @JacobsBen

What was actually said

4 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as agreed

Advancing3 reports, led by @Plettigoal

🚨💥 BREAKING | Christopher Nkunku to RB Leipzig - DONE DEAL ✔️ Verbal agreement in principle reached with AC Milan for the return of the 28 y/o versatile forward. Loan deal with an option to buy now agreed. Last details. Deal set to be finalized in the next 2-3 days. https://t.co/ntmAML3Yks

claims Agreement+7 pointsView on X ↗
2 other posts, 2 other sources on the same claim
  • @DiMarzio3mo ago ↗name shared — matched from context+1

    itRB Leipzig closing on Nkunku from AC Milan on loan for approximately €4m with €28m purchase option

    Il @RBLeipzig è in chiusura per Nkunku dal @acmilan: operazione in prestito a circa 4 milioni con diritto di riscatto fissato a 28 @SkySport @SkySportDE

  • @JacobsBen3mo ago ↗

    Christopher Nkunku is set to return to Leipzig from Milan on a loan with buy option. Agreement in principle in place between the clubs.🎈 https://t.co/rd3ju1f1GK

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🚨⏳ There’s a feeling that RB Leipzig are currently ahead in the race for Christopher Nkunku. There are many enquiries for the 28 y/o versatile forward, including from the Premier League and Newcastle. But Leipzig are already in concrete negotiations with AC Milan. RB really https://t.co/Cfifx1fR3T

claims Talks+3 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 73% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+62
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 52% faded
+7
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 61% faded, counted at 60%
+3
Gianluca Di Marzio advancingtrust 0.55, 52% faded, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 36%
+1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
73%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: −7 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting23 Aug28 Aug28 Aug
12 recomputations▼ 8 points over the trail
  1. −72mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting