TransferHype
Winter 2027

Moussa Diaby

—

Al Ittihad FC → Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 18d ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    4 Aug
  2. Talks
    4 Aug
  3. Agreement
    26 Aug
  4. Medical
    27 Aug
  5. Done
    1 Sept

Catch me up

  1. 4 Augfirst@Plettigoal: Bayer 04 Leverkusen in advanced talks to bring Moussa Diaby back from Al-Ittihad, no agreement yet with either party
  2. 4 AugJoined by @DiMarzio
  3. 26 AugReached Agreement
  4. 26 AugJoined by @FabriceHawkins
  5. 27 AugReached Medical
  6. 1 SeptReached Done

What was actually said

6 posts in 5 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 60%claims MedicalView on X ↗

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 36%claims AgreementView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @Plettigoal@Plettigoal had it first, 2mo ago
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 22%claims TalksView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @Plettigoal2mo ago ↗no effect

    🚨🔙 BREAKING | Bayer 04 Leverkusen are working on a return for Moussa Diaby. Advanced talks are underway. However, no agreement has been reached yet - neither with Diaby nor with Al-Ittihad. Carles Martínez wants Diaby for his 4-3-3 system. The expected transfer fee is below https://t.co/Rp6RAm4eB3

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

itBayer Leverkusen is also interested in Moussa Diaby

JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 8%claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 63% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+58
FabriceHawkins advancingBroke ittrust 0.55
+11
Plettigoal advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 59% faded, counted at 60%
+3
FabriceHawkins advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 65% faded, counted at 36%
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−11
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
63%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: 95%28 Aug: 95%28 Aug: 94%28 Aug: 94%28 Aug: 94%28 Aug: 94%28 Aug: 72%28 Aug: 72%28 Aug: 72%28 Aug: 72%28 Aug: 72%28 Aug: 72%28 Aug: 72%28 Aug: 72%28 Aug: 72%28 Aug: 72%28 Aug: 72%28 Aug: 72%28 Aug: 72%28 Aug: 72%29 Aug: 76%29 Aug: 76%29 Aug: 76%29 Aug: 76%29 Aug: 76%29 Aug: 76%29 Aug: 75%29 Aug: 75%29 Aug: 75%29 Aug: 76%29 Aug: 76%29 Aug: 76%29 Aug: 76%29 Aug: 76%29 Aug: 76%29 Aug: 76%29 Aug: 76%29 Aug: 76%29 Aug: 76%29 Aug: 76%29 Aug: 76%29 Aug: 76%29 Aug: 76%29 Aug: 43%30 Aug: 43%30 Aug: 43%30 Aug: 43%30 Aug: 43%30 Aug: 43%30 Aug: 41%30 Aug: 41%30 Aug: 41%30 Aug: 41%30 Aug: 40%30 Aug: 40%30 Aug: 62%30 Aug: 62%30 Aug: 62%30 Aug: 62%30 Aug: 62%30 Aug: 62%30 Aug: 62%31 Aug: 62%31 Aug: 62%31 Aug: 58%31 Aug: 58%31 Aug: 56%31 Aug: 56%31 Aug: 55%31 Aug: 55%1 Sept: 66%1 Sept: 66%2 Sept: 63%28 Aug: −22 points, with no new post29 Aug: +4 points, with no new post29 Aug: −33 points, with no new post30 Aug: +22 points, with no new post31 Aug: −4 points, with no new post1 Sept: +11 points, after @FabriceHawkins2 Sept: −3 points, with no new post28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
73 recomputations▼ 31 points over the trail
  1. −3321d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. −2222d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. +2220d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  4. +1118d ago@FabriceHawkins: Moussa Diaby to Bayer Leverkusen completed, 5-year contract, €37m fee to Al-Ittihad
  5. +422d agono new post; decay or a rival moving