TransferHype
Winter 2027

Moussa Diaby

—

Al Ittihad → Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    4 Aug
  2. Talks
    4 Aug
  3. Agreement
    26 Aug
  4. Medical
    27 Aug
  5. Done
    1 Sept

Catch me up

  1. 4 Augfirst@Plettigoal: Bayer 04 Leverkusen in advanced talks to bring Moussa Diaby back from Al-Ittihad, no agreement yet with either party
  2. 4 AugJoined by @DiMarzio
  3. 26 AugReached Agreement
  4. 26 AugJoined by @FabriceHawkins
  5. 27 AugReached Medical
  6. 1 SeptReached Done

What was actually said

6 posts in 5 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

🚨 Moussa Diaby’s move to Bayer Leverkusen will be officially announced today. The final details have been sorted. The French international will sign a 5-year contract. Al-Ittihad will receive €37m. https://t.co/Cw9NmFUVJ0

claims Done+11 pointsView on X ↗

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨📸 EXCL PIC | Moussa Diaby has landed and is now taking the train from Frankfurt to Cologne, before continuing by car to Leverkusen for his medical. Return to Bayer 04 is agreed, subject to medical. Breakthrough in negotiations with Al-Ittihad yesterday over a transfer fee https://t.co/1p2U5W16Xn

claims Medical+3 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

🚨🇫🇷Breaking - Bayer Leverkusen have reached an agreement with Al-Ittihad for Moussa Diaby. Deal worth €37m. Five-year contract agreed with the player. Diaby set to return to Leverkusen. https://t.co/u8QecdmYga

claims Agreement+1 pointView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @Plettigoal@Plettigoal had it first, 3mo ago

🚨⏳ Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Moussa Diaby have reached a full verbal agreement on a contract until 2031. Diaby wants to return to Leverkusen. Negotiations with Al-Ittihad are ongoing but complicated and not yet close to completion. Leverkusen are pushing to reach an agreement. https://t.co/eqhWG5g275

claims TalksView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @Plettigoal3mo ago ↗

    🚨🔙 BREAKING | Bayer 04 Leverkusen are working on a return for Moussa Diaby. Advanced talks are underway. However, no agreement has been reached yet - neither with Diaby nor with Al-Ittihad. Carles Martínez wants Diaby for his 4-3-3 system. The expected transfer fee is below https://t.co/Rp6RAm4eB3

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

itBayer Leverkusen is also interested in Moussa Diaby

.@Inter, su Moussa Diaby c’è anche il Bayer Leverkusen https://t.co/xZfGwpR4bZ

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 63% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+58
Fabrice Hawkins advancingBroke ittrust 0.55
+11
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 59% faded, counted at 60%
+3
Fabrice Hawkins advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 65% faded, counted at 36%
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−11
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
63%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: −22 points, after @DiMarzio29 Aug: +4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug: −33 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug: +22 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting31 Aug: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting1 Sept: +11 points, after @FabriceHawkins2 Sept: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting28 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
73 recomputations▼ 31 points over the trail
  1. −332mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. −222mo ago@DiMarzio: Bayer Leverkusen is also interested in Moussa Diaby
  3. +222mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  4. +112mo ago@FabriceHawkins: Moussa Diaby to Bayer Leverkusen completed, 5-year contract, €37m fee to Al-Ittihad
  5. +42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting