Eintracht Frankfurt → Bologna · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    27 Aug
  2. Talks
    27 Aug
  3. Agreement
    27 Aug
  4. Medical
    28 Aug
  5. Done
    27 Aug

Catch me up

  1. 27 Augfirst@DiMarzio: itTheate close to returning to Bologna on loan with option to buy
  2. 27 AugReached Agreement
  3. 27 AugReached Done
  4. 27 AugJoined by @FabrizioRomano, @Plettigoal
  5. 28 AugReached Medical

What was actually said

5 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancing2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano

🚨🔴🔵 Bologna reach verbal agreement to sign Arthur Theate from Eintracht, here we go! Initial loan deal with €15m buy option clause and 15% sell-on clause. 🇧🇪 The defender returns to Bologna; set for medical and travel in next 24h. https://t.co/zK27ZL5cc1

claims Medical+7 pointsView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @Plettigoal2mo ago ↗

    🚨💥 Arthur Theate back to FC Bologna - DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement now reached with Eintracht Frankfurt. Loan with an option to buy worth €15m. Green light for medical. @SkySportDE 🇧🇪 https://t.co/0lY7T7vWqS

Reported as done

Advancingone report

Theate-@Bolognafc1909: diritto di riscatto fissato a circa 15 milioni @SkySport https://t.co/QXT7sXna33

claims Done+3 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @DiMarzio

itTheate close to returning to Bologna on loan with option to buy

.@Bolognafc1909, vicinissimo il ritorno di Theate: operazione in prestito con diritto di riscatto @SkySport

claims Talks+1 pointView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano2mo ago ↗+1

    🚨🔴🔵 Bologna are closing in on deal to bring Arthur Theate back to the club on loan with €15m buy option clause. The agreement includes a 15% sell-on clause. https://t.co/ImWW9Z1EST

Why it read 83% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+71
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 53% faded
+7
Gianluca Di Marzio advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 57% faded, counted at 60%
+3
Gianluca Di Marzio advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 57% faded, counted at 36%
+1
Fabrizio Romano advancingtrust 0.75, 57% faded, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 22%
+1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
83%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: +47 points, after @FabrizioRomano1 Sept: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting2 Sept: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting28 Aug31 Aug2 Sept
73 recomputations▲ 34 points over the trail
  1. +472mo ago@FabrizioRomano: Arthur Theate to join Bologna on loan with €15m buy option and 15% sell-on clause; medical scheduled in next 24 hours
  2. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting