TransferHype
Winter 2027

Honest Ahanor

DF

Atalanta BC → Chelsea F.C. · Permanent · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 43% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    27 Aug
  2. Talks
    27 Aug
  3. Agreement
    27 Aug
  4. Medical
    27 Aug
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 27 Augfirst@FabrizioRomano: Honest Ahanor authorized to travel to Chelsea for medical tests; £40m deal agreed with Atalanta
  2. 30 AugJoined by @DiMarzio
  3. 1 SeptReached Done
  4. 1 SeptJoined by @JacobsBen

What was actually said

5 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

Reported as agreed

Advancing2 reports, led by @DiMarzio
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 60%claims AgreementView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen16d ago ↗no effect

    Chelsea confirm Italian international Honest Ahanor has joined from Serie A side Atalanta. £40m fee. Ahanor will join Chelsea in summer 2027. He will be loaned from Atalanta to Crystal Palace for this season.✍️ https://t.co/rKwNTTHZfU

Reported at medical stage

Advancing2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 36%claims MedicalView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano17d ago ↗+1

    🚨🔵🔴 Crystal Palace agree deal to sign Honest Ahanor on loan from Chelsea, here we go! Verbal agreement done as Honest Ahanor joins Chelsea from Atalanta for £40m and then joins #CPFC on loan. Medical booked on Monday. https://t.co/asT1CHInUb

Why it read 43% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+61
FabrizioRomano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+16
DiMarzio advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 60%
+4
FabrizioRomano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 50% faded, counted at 36%
+2
FabrizioRomano advancingtrust 0.75, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 22%
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−42
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
43%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: 94%28 Aug: 94%28 Aug: 94%28 Aug: 94%28 Aug: 94%28 Aug: 94%28 Aug: 84%28 Aug: 84%28 Aug: 84%28 Aug: 84%28 Aug: 84%28 Aug: 84%28 Aug: 84%28 Aug: 84%28 Aug: 84%28 Aug: 84%28 Aug: 84%28 Aug: 84%28 Aug: 84%28 Aug: 84%29 Aug: 82%29 Aug: 82%29 Aug: 82%29 Aug: 82%29 Aug: 82%29 Aug: 82%29 Aug: 81%29 Aug: 81%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 20%30 Aug: 20%30 Aug: 20%30 Aug: 20%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 37%30 Aug: 37%30 Aug: 46%30 Aug: 46%30 Aug: 46%30 Aug: 46%30 Aug: 46%31 Aug: 46%31 Aug: 46%31 Aug: 46%31 Aug: 46%31 Aug: 45%31 Aug: 45%31 Aug: 45%31 Aug: 45%1 Sept: 43%28 Aug: −10 points, with no new post29 Aug: −60 points, with no new post30 Aug: +18 points, after @DiMarzio, @FabrizioRomano30 Aug: +9 points, with no new post28 Aug29 Aug1 Sept
71 recomputations▼ 51 points over the trail
  1. −6018d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. +1817d ago@DiMarzio: Honest Ahanor to complete move from Atalanta to Chelsea in coming hours · @FabrizioRomano: Honest Ahanor joins Chelsea from Atalanta for £40m with medical booked on Monday
  3. −1019d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  4. +917d agono new post; decay or a rival moving