Manchester City → Newcastle · Summer 2026
It did not happen
last read 23% before it was settled
- Rumoured12 Jun
- Talks—
- Agreement—
- Medical—
- Done—
Catch me up
- 12 Junfirst@David_Ornstein: Newcastle United rekindling interest in signing James Trafford from Manchester City; clubs in contact but no formal talks yet, complicated by Trafford wanting to decide his future post-World Cup.
- 12 JunJoined by @JacobsBen, @TEAMtalk
- 23 JulCooling@David_Ornstein: Newcastle United no longer considering James Trafford as a goalkeeper option after discussions with Manchester City did not progress further
What was actually said
7 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.
Said to be cooling
Coolingone reportReported as being in talks
Advancing2 reports, led by @David_Ornstein1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
- @JacobsBen3mo ago ↗
Newcastle United's interest in James Trafford is ongoing, as reported on @talkSPORT last month. Talks with Manchester City underway since late May.🧤 🤝 @alex_crook https://t.co/2cinVhw7pd
Reported as a live interest
Advancing3 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 3mo ago2 other posts on the same claim
Mentioned, no claim either way
Neutralone reportWhy it read 23% before it settled
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+30
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−7
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
23%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.
Probability over time
- −723d agono new post; decay or a rival moving