esRodri has an agreement with Real Madrid; Barcelona has entered the bidding as negotiations between City and Madrid have stalled
Manchester City → Real Madrid · Summer 2026
It did not happen
last read 41% before it was settled
- Rumoured12 Jun
- Talks21 Jul
- Agreement—
- Medical—
- Done—
Catch me up
- 12 Junfirst@FabrizioRomano: Real Madrid are not expected to advance for Rodri this summer after the Bernardo deal, with the move not a priority for Florentino Pérez.
- 14 JulJoined by @TEAMtalk
- 19 JulAdvancing@TEAMtalk: Rodri wants to join Real Madrid from Manchester City
- 21 JulReached Talks
- 21 JulJoined by @MatteMoretto
- 21 JulCooling@FabrizioRomano: Rodri dreams of Real Madrid return but Florentino Pérez has blocked negotiations; Man City has new contract proposal on table since April
- 21 JulAdvancing@MatteMoretto: esReal Madrid has Rodri's approval and the parties are very close contractually; Florentino Pérez is now more open to signing him, though no negotiations with Manchester City are underway yet.
- 22 JulCooling@FabrizioRomano: Rodri dreams of Real Madrid but Florentino Pérez has not given green light; Man City have a new contract proposal on the table
- 23 JulAdvancing@TEAMtalk: Man City ready to sell Rodri to Real Madrid
- 24 JulJoined by @David_Ornstein, @JacobsBen
- 5 AugReached Agreement
- 6 AugCooling@FabrizioRomano: Real Madrid have been in talks with Manchester City for weeks but City did not accept to proceed immediately.
- 6 AugAdvancing@FabrizioRomano: Rodri in negotiations with Real Madrid for weeks as priority, but Barcelona also positioned; decision up to player as both clubs ready to pay similar fee.
- 6 AugJoined by @MirrorFootball
- 6 AugCooling@TEAMtalk: Real Madrid have walked away from signing Rodri after he expressed admiration for Barcelona
What was actually said
25 posts in 7 claims, grouped by stage and direction.
Reported as agreed
Advancing2 reports, led by @MatteMoretto@TEAMtalk had it first, 3mo ago
Said to be cooling
Cooling3 reports, led by @FabrizioRomanoclaims TalksView on X ↗
2 other posts, 2 other sources on the same claim
- @JacobsBen3mo ago ↗
Worth noting Real Madrid have now ended talks with Manchester City over Rodri.❌ https://t.co/YYuyi8Tox4
- @TEAMtalk3mo ago ↗
Real Madrid walk away from Rodri deal after he makes Barcelona admiration clear @GraemeBailey | #RMCF #FCB #MCFC https://t.co/MzzkNLGxNz
Reported as a live interest
Advancing4 reports, led by @David_Ornstein@TEAMtalk had it first, 4mo agoclaims RumouredView on X ↗
3 other posts, 2 other sources on the same claim
- @JacobsBen3mo ago ↗
Rodri has already made it clear he wants to join Real Madrid for both football and family reasons. #MCFC now braced for an approach, and hope to keep. But Rodri is not expected to sign a new deal as he prioritises a move to Madrid this summer.🇪🇸 https://t.co/JsKt0MPo5K
- @TEAMtalk3mo ago ↗
Manchester City explored alternatives to Real Madrid for Rodri, but European giants have refused to challenge the Spanish juggernauts 👀 ✍️@GraemeBailey | #MCFC #RMFC https://t.co/VzCJ1OvNam
- @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗
🔵 Rodri wants to join Real Madrid from Manchester City, says a journalist #rmcf #mcfc https://t.co/wGh4nxyUhR
Reported as being in talks
Advancing8 reports, led by @MatteMorettoesReal Madrid internally reconsidering Rodri situation; part of board pushing for agreement with Spanish midfielder who is open to returning to Spain
claims TalksView on X ↗
7 other posts, 3 other sources on the same claim
- @FabrizioRomano3mo ago ↗
🚨🇪🇸 The decision will be completely up to Rodri, as Real Madrid and Barcelona both ready to pay similar transfer fee to City. Rodri has been in negotiations with Real Madrid for weeks as priority but Barcelona positioned themselves as well while Madrid deal isn’t done yet. https://t.co/Bvxsdx2wBu
- @MatteMoretto4mo ago ↗
esReal Madrid has Rodri's approval and the parties are very close contractually; Florentino Pérez is now more open to signing him, though no negotiations with Manchester City are underway yet.
El Real Madrid ya cuenta con el visto bueno de Rodri y, desde el punto de vista contractual, las partes ya están muy cerca. Florentino Pérez se muestra ahora mucho más abierto a la posibilidad de ficharlo. Todavía no hay ninguna negociación en curso con el Manchester City. https://t.co/NDbDbwOHOs
- @MatteMoretto3mo ago ↗
esRodri awaiting agreement between Real Madrid and Manchester City on transfer fee; player has agreed contract terms with Real Madrid
Rodri está a la espera de que el Real Madrid y el Manchester City lleguen a un acuerdo sobre el coste del traspaso. El centrocampista español ya ha llegado a un acuerdo con el Real Madrid sobre las condiciones del contrato.
- @FabrizioRomano3mo ago ↗
🚨⚪️ Real Madrid have approached Manchester City for Rodri for the first time. Negotiations have started with verbal discussions between clubs. Florentino Pérez has given approval to the deal after doors closed for months. Real indicate they are ready to spend over €50m. https://t.co/mf8HNldbcZ
- @JacobsBen3mo ago ↗
Real Madrid have opened initial talks with Manchester City to sign Rodri. Spanish midfielder has already made it clear he wants the move. Manchester City prefer to keep, even if Rodri fails to sign a new contract. Yet the arrival of Ayyoub Bouaddi, or another midfielder, could https://t.co/HhnBue2iTB
- @TEAMtalk3mo ago ↗
🚨 Real Madrid get green light to sign Rodri as talks over midfielder's Spanish return begin. Sources claim Man City are now accelerating a deal to bring in Ayyoub Bouaddi - and he may not be their last midfield signing for #MCFC @GraemeBailey | #RMCF https://t.co/5kHR1HYONp
- @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗
🔵 Man City ready to sell Rodri to Real Madrid, TEAMtalk understands @GraemeBailey | #MCFC #RMCF https://t.co/Ml9EutydRc
Said to be cooling
Cooling3 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano@FabrizioRomano had it first, 5mo agoclaims RumouredView on X ↗
2 other posts on the same claim
- @FabrizioRomano4mo ago ↗
🚨 Rodri dreams of Real Madrid but there’s still no green light from Florentino Pérez to proceed with the move. All depends on Real president and nothing has changed at this stage. 🩵 Man City new contract proposal remains valid as #MCFC still hope to get it done. 🎥 https://t.co/F4OkgdQl9u
- @FabrizioRomano5mo ago ↗
🚨 Real Madrid are now not expected to advance for Rodri this summer after Bernardo deal. Not a priority for Florentino Pérez + up to Rodri whether he wants to sign new deal at #MCFC (still on the table) or leave in 2027 on a free. 👀 🎥➕ https://t.co/baFrE4u1fl https://t.co/gLojTeqWHH
Mentioned, no claim either way
Neutral4 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano@TEAMtalk had it first, 4mo agoclaims RumouredView on X ↗
3 other posts, 2 other sources on the same claim
- @TEAMtalk3mo ago ↗
🚨 Rodri to Real Madrid, Aurelien Tchouameni to Man Utd ⤵️ https://t.co/pJur0YguTY
- @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗
Enzo Maresca will hold talks with Rodri over his Man City future next month ⏳ Real Madrid still dream of bringing the midfielder to the Bernabeu 🇪🇸 @GraemeBailey | #MCFC #RMCF https://t.co/1u8yjOfC8P
- @MirrorFootball3mo ago ↗
🚨 Man City's chances of keeping Rodri this summer have taken a blow after Barca joined Real Madrid in chasing his signature https://t.co/E2HQlYmhZD https://t.co/fThjlwTM1J
Mentioned, no claim either way
Neutralone reportclaims TalksView on X ↗
Why it read 41% before it settled
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+62
Matteo Moretto advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 96% faded
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−21
11 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
41%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.
Probability over time
Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.