Newcastle → Manchester City · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 11% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    10 Jun
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 10 Junfirst@FabrizioRomano: Sandro Tonali on Manchester City shortlist
  2. 17 JunJoined by @TEAMtalk, @JacobsBen
  3. 17 JunReached Talks
  4. 30 JunJoined by @MirrorFootball

What was actually said

11 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral5 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano

🚨🔵 As expected, Manchester City sent new bid for Elliot Anderson for £106m guaranteed fee plus £15m add-ons. Nottingham Forest want £120m+ fixed to sell the midfielder as also aware of Man United interest. #MCFC pushing to get in done + Sandro Tonali also on shortlist. 👀 https://t.co/z4JUkEIOBs

claims RumouredView on X ↗
4 other posts, 3 other sources on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen4mo ago ↗

    Spurs view Sandro Tonali as a separate transfer to Mateus Fernandes. Idea is to do both. Manchester City the other club tracking Tonali. #MCFC also want a second midfielder after Elliot Anderson.🇮🇹 https://t.co/rBiSYMaq94

  • @JacobsBen4mo ago ↗

    🚨 Spurs continue in talks to sign Sandro Tonali and are optimistic the Italian midfielder wants to join. Roberto De Zerbi is understood to a key factor in his decision-making process. Manchester City and Arsenal also hold an interest. Newcastle United have already rejected one https://t.co/a7ZqwWv8dU

  • @TEAMtalk5mo ago ↗

    Tottenham face 'serious competition' from Man City for Sandro Tonali #THFC #MCFC https://t.co/84jaDGknhl

  • @MirrorFootball4mo ago ↗

    Arsenal put on Sandro Tonali red alert as Man City plot huge move https://t.co/DiMtC4YWpz

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @JacobsBen@JacobsBen had it first, 5mo ago

🚨 Newcastle United have rejected a bid from Spurs in the region of £75m-£80m for Sandro Tonali, as @SkyFootball called. Newcastle are looking for at least £85m fixed and a total package of around £100m. Spurs and Manchester City the two clubs active on Tonali.🇮🇹 🤝 https://t.co/YYHXDB1gjg

claims TalksView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen5mo ago ↗

    Manchester City closing in on Elliot Anderson and battling with Spurs for Sandro Tonali.🎙️ https://t.co/GijJj6n3cF

Reported as being in talks

Advancing3 reports, led by @JacobsBen

Newcastle braced for bids for Sandro Tonali and expecting multiple suitors. Spurs and Manchester City both in talks. Arsenal enquired in January and are still assessing midfield options for this summer. A return to Italy very unlikely due to cost, even though Tonali wants to https://t.co/hlzMlKCLYr

claims TalksView on X ↗
2 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗

    💰 Man City are reportedly preparing a huge bid for Sandro Tonali, but they look set to be swiftly outdone by Tottenham ⤵️ #MCFC #THFC https://t.co/bIQTxyjkN2

  • @TEAMtalk5mo ago ↗

    Man City are growing in confidence that they will secure a blockbuster deal for Sandro Tonali, despite a shock surge from Tottenham and multiple other rivals tracking the Newcastle star 👀 @GraemeBailey✍️ | #MCFC #NUFC #THFC https://t.co/P8SVFdXyN9

Reported as a live interest

Advancingone report

‼️ Sandro Tonali’s camp are increasingly expecting the midfielder to leave Newcastle this summer, with Man City leading the way for a mega-money deal 💷💷 @GraemeBailey✍️ | #NUFC #MCFC https://t.co/koulBQCVgg

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 11% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
11%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug28 Aug
2 recomputations▼ 1 points over the trail