Bayer 04 LeverkusenChelsea F.C. · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 13% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    23 Jul
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 23 Julfirst@JacobsBen: Chelsea interested in Kerim Alajbegovic; early stages with no contact yet made with Bayer Leverkusen
  2. 24 JulJoined by @FabrizioRomano
  3. 24 JulReached Talks

What was actually said

3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano@JacobsBen had it first, 2mo ago
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 60%claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen2mo ago

    Chelsea are interested in Bosnia and Herzegovina international Kerim Alajbegovic. Early stages with no contact yet made with Bayer Leverkusen, but that could change soon.🇧🇦 https://t.co/f1BkpM4QRj

Why it read 13% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+30
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−17
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
13%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: 19%28 Aug: 13%28 Aug: −6 points, with no new post28 Aug28 Aug
2 recomputations 6 points over the trail
  1. 620d agono new post; decay or a rival moving