Arsenal → Napoli · Permanent · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 16% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    6 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 6 Augfirst@DiMarzio: Napoli in contact with Gabriel Jesus
  2. 6 AugJoined by @FabrizioRomano, @TEAMtalk
  3. 11 AugJoined by @JacobsBen
  4. 13 AugJoined by @MatteMoretto

What was actually said

8 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancing4 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano

🚨🔵⚪️ Napoli made contact with Gabriel Jesus camp over possible move, as @geglobo reported. Discussions started while Arsenal insist on permanent move as only way for exit. He’s now represented by same agency as Napoli head coach Allegri. https://t.co/kUGiaow5RL

claims Talks+1 pointView on X ↗
3 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @MatteMoretto3mo ago ↗

    itNapoli advancing in pursuit of Gabriel Jesus

    Il Napoli avanza per Gabriel Jesus. Tutte le ultime su Youtube: https://t.co/qvJlCaKrdB https://t.co/vdMObRYeZY

  • @FabrizioRomano3mo ago ↗

    🚨🔴⚪️ Gabriel Jesus’ new agent met with Napoli today as he also represents manager Massimiliano Allegri. Gabriel open to Serie A move; Arsenal only consider permanent exit. There are more clubs in race; Napoli also need exits (Lukaku to leave) before bidding. https://t.co/9Z8VPHBGKq

  • @FabrizioRomano3mo ago ↗

    🚨🔵⚪️ Napoli are aware of conditions to sign Gabriel Jesus and talks took place on club side. Deal now depends on Napoli exits (more needed after Lukaku) and agreement on personal terms. But talks underway. 🇧🇷 🎥🇮🇹 https://t.co/98Ph5jDVYH https://t.co/L3tfTxvSnM

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral3 reports, led by @DiMarzio
2 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @DiMarzio3mo ago ↗

    .@sscnapoli , contatti con Gabriel Jesus

  • @JacobsBen3mo ago ↗

    🚨 Fenerbahçe agree a deal with Napoli to sign Romelu Lukaku for around €6m plus add-ons. Napoli considering a bid for Gabriel Jesus having made contact with Arsenal last week. https://t.co/uH1EAYLXQO

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Napoli are reportedly interested in Arsenal striker Gabriel Jesus 🇧🇷 https://t.co/GtUa6NolEd

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 16% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+20
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.85, 96% faded
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−5
7 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
16%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −10 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug: −3 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination28 Aug29 Aug30 Aug
44 recomputations▼ 16 points over the trail
  1. −102mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. −32mo agonews on a rival destination