ArsenalSSC Napoli · Permanent · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 16% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    6 Aug
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 6 Augfirst@DiMarzio: Napoli in contact with Gabriel Jesus
  2. 6 AugJoined by @FabrizioRomano, @TEAMtalk
  3. 11 AugJoined by @JacobsBen
  4. 13 AugJoined by @MatteMoretto

What was actually said

8 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancing4 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano
3 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @MatteMoretto1mo agono effect

    itNapoli advancing in pursuit of Gabriel Jesus

    Il Napoli avanza per Gabriel Jesus. Tutte le ultime su Youtube: https://t.co/qvJlCaKrdB https://t.co/vdMObRYeZY

  • @FabrizioRomano1mo agono effect

    🚨🔴⚪️ Gabriel Jesus’ new agent met with Napoli today as he also represents manager Massimiliano Allegri. Gabriel open to Serie A move; Arsenal only consider permanent exit. There are more clubs in race; Napoli also need exits (Lukaku to leave) before bidding. https://t.co/9Z8VPHBGKq

  • @FabrizioRomano1mo agono effect

    🚨🔵⚪️ Napoli are aware of conditions to sign Gabriel Jesus and talks took place on club side. Deal now depends on Napoli exits (more needed after Lukaku) and agreement on personal terms. But talks underway. 🇧🇷 🎥🇮🇹 https://t.co/98Ph5jDVYH https://t.co/L3tfTxvSnM

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral3 reports, led by @DiMarzio
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.77counted at 13%claims TalksView on X ↗
2 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @DiMarzio1mo agono effect

    .@sscnapoli , contatti con Gabriel Jesus

  • @JacobsBen1mo agono effect

    🚨 Fenerbahçe agree a deal with Napoli to sign Romelu Lukaku for around €6m plus add-ons. Napoli considering a bid for Gabriel Jesus having made contact with Arsenal last week. https://t.co/uH1EAYLXQO

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.60counted at 8%claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 16% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+20
FabrizioRomano advancingBroke ittrust 0.85, 96% faded
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−5
7 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
16%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

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44 recomputations 16 points over the trail
  1. 1020d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. 318d agono new post; decay or a rival moving