Manchester City → Southampton · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedreported done by several independent sources · 3mo ago
50%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 3mo agolast moved 3mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    9 Aug
  2. Talks
    9 Aug
  3. Agreement
    9 Aug
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    11 Aug

Catch me up

  1. 9 Augfirst@FabrizioRomano: Southampton have reached verbal agreement to sign Divin Mubama from Man City on loan, pending Man City's final approval.
  2. 11 AugReached Done
  3. 11 AugJoined by @JacobsBen

What was actually said

3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancing2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano

🔴⚪️🤝🏿 Divin Mubama has joined Southampton on loan deal from Manchester City, as reported. Green light from #MCFC and one more addition upfront for #SaintsFC wanted by director Johannes Spors. https://t.co/Vpdt6Mqd7k

claims Done+2 pointsView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen3mo ago ↗

    Southampton confirm striker Divin Mubama has joined on a season-long loan from Manchester City.😇 https://t.co/V94a8YbTuD

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

🚨🔴⚪️ Southampton have reached verbal agreement to sign Divin Mubama from Man City on loan. Final, key step needed: the green light from Man City as internal discussions are still taking place. https://t.co/pINNQt6QSj

claims Agreement+1 pointView on X ↗

Why it read 50% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+47
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.83, 92% faded
+2
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.83, 94% faded, counted at 60%
+1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
50%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −43 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug: +5 points, after @JacobsBen28 Aug29 Aug29 Aug
23 recomputations▼ 39 points over the trail
  1. −432mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. +52mo ago@JacobsBen: Divin Mubama joins Southampton on a season-long loan from Manchester City