Rayo Vallecano → Hull City · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 3mo ago
53%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 3mo agolast moved 3mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    30 Jul
  2. Talks
    30 Jul
  3. Agreement
    31 Jul
  4. Medical
    11 Aug
  5. Done
    11 Aug

Catch me up

  1. 30 Julfirst@JacobsBen: Hull City in advanced talks with Rayo Vallecano for defender Nobel Mendy, with optimism a deal can be agreed for around £15m.
  2. 30 JulJoined by @MatteMoretto, @FabrizioRomano
  3. 31 JulReached Agreement
  4. 11 AugReached Done
  5. 11 AugReached Medical

What was actually said

8 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨🟠⚫️ Nobel Mendy deal, completed and agreed for Hull City after new talks with Rayo Vallecano over details. Medical booked and new signing done for #HCAFC, here we go. 🤝🏿 https://t.co/4SKOWyc9dC

claims MedicalView on X ↗

Reported as done

Advancing3 reports, led by @MatteMoretto

esNobel Mendy ready to sign contract with Hull City, deal closed

Nobel Mendy está listo para firmar su contrato con el Hull City. Fichaje cerrado. https://t.co/ufRuffdZGa

claims DoneView on X ↗
2 other posts, 2 other sources on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano3mo ago ↗

    🟠⚫️🇸🇳 EXCL: Nobel Mendy, on his way to join Hull City from Rayo Vallecano. ✈️ Fee worth €25m plus 12.5% sell-on clause, Betis receive 20% of the deal. Here Mendy with Yvan Nzalengi from Bs Group and sports lawyer Badou Sambagué after deal done with director Okan Ozkan. #hcafc https://t.co/W5x9DulgQc

  • @JacobsBen3mo ago ↗

    Hull City confirm defender Nobel Mendy has joined from Rayo Vallecano in a club-record deal worth over £20m. 5+1 contract.🐯 https://t.co/f4RFvzRHca

Reported as agreed

Advancing2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano

🚨🟠⚫️ Hull City seal the agreement to sign Nobel Mendy for €20m plus add-ons from Rayo. €4m go to Real Betis as sell-on clause, as @marcosbenito9 reported. https://t.co/RD4BjpPBFw

claims AgreementView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen3mo ago ↗

    Nobel Mendy's move to Hull City is now agreed. Player en route to formalise.🇸🇳 🤝 @alex_crook https://t.co/awdY3BeWHL

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @MatteMoretto@JacobsBen had it first, 3mo ago

esHull City close to signing Nobel Mendy from Rayo for €20m plus €5m in bonuses

El Hull City está a un paso de Nobel Mendy por 20 millones más 5 en bonus. La negociación entre el club inglés y el Rayo, cerca de cerrarse. @marca https://t.co/C63KQifZAE

claims TalksView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen3mo ago ↗

    Hull City in advanced talks for Rayo Vallecano defender Nobel Mendy. Optimism a deal can be agreed for around £15m.🇸🇳 🤝 @alex_crook https://t.co/z8Zykii0Sn

Why it read 53% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+99
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−46
5 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
53%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.