Ipswich Town → Derby County · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 3mo ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    31 Jul
  2. Talks
    31 Jul
  3. Agreement
    31 Jul
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    31 Jul

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancing2 reports, led by @JacobsBen

Sammie Szmodics will join Derby from Ipswich on a season-long loan. Deal done pending only the official announcement.🐏 https://t.co/z35RU515lP

claims DoneView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen3mo ago ↗

    Sammie Szmodics will join Derby from Ipswich on a season-long loan with an obligation to buy. Could rise as high as £5.4m if Derby get promoted. Lower if they don’t.🐏 https://t.co/1Cbyan2pJ4

Why it read 16% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+15
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
16%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −18 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug: +4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
45 recomputations▼ 15 points over the trail
  1. −182mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. +42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting