Swansea City → Manchester United · Free · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 3mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    27 Jul
  2. Talks
    27 Jul
  3. Agreement
    27 Jul
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    27 Jul

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancing2 reports, led by @JacobsBen

Manchester United confirm the signing of Wales Under-21 keeper Kit Margetson. 19-year-old joins following the expiry of his Swansea contract.🧤 https://t.co/4qvR6Dyoy0

claims DoneView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen3mo ago ↗

    Manchester United confirm the signing of Wales Under-21 keeper Kit Margetson. 20-year-old joins following the expiry of his Swansea contract. Swansea to receive compensation already agreed between clubs rather than via a tribunal.🧤 https://t.co/wPtFREQEoz

Why it read 15% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+15
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
15%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −15 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug: +3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
45 recomputations▼ 12 points over the trail
  1. −152mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. +32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting