Ajax → Newcastle · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 4mo ago
19%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 4mo agolast moved 4mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    7 Jul
  2. Talks
    7 Jul
  3. Agreement
    7 Jul
  4. Medical
    7 Jul
  5. Done
    9 Jul

Catch me up

  1. 7 Julfirst@TEAMtalk: Newcastle agree €30m package with Ajax to sign Sean Steur
  2. 7 JulReached Medical
  3. 7 JulJoined by @Plettigoal, @JacobsBen
  4. 9 JulReached Done

What was actually said

6 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancing2 reports, led by @JacobsBen

Newcastle United confirm Sean Steur has joined from Ajax in a deal worth up to £23m. The 18-year-old has signed a five-year contract.🇳🇱 https://t.co/FnMwfOW3qv

claims DoneView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗

    ✅ Newcastle have signed Sean Steur from Ajax and reached a 'full agreement' for Johan Manzambi, too 🔥 #NUFC https://t.co/gDbi8XRDwe

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨💥 Sean Steur to Newcastle - DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement reached with Ajax. Transfer fee worth around €23m fixed plus add-ons. Medical soon. #NUFC Understand the 18 y/o top talented midfielder is set to sign a contract until 2031. @SkySportDE 🇳🇱 https://t.co/g3Hhk7Fysk

claims MedicalView on X ↗

Reported as agreed

Advancing2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk

🚨⚫️⚪️ Newcastle agree €30m package with Ajax to sign Sean Steur - and sources reveal generational Dutch star could be the first of three hugely impressive deals coming to St James' Park @GraemeBailey | #NUFC https://t.co/q3o1TwHQ16

claims AgreementView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen4mo ago ↗

    Newcastle have agreed a £23m deal with Ajax for midfielder Sean Steur. The 18-year-old is viewed as the replacement for Sandro Tonali.🇳🇱 https://t.co/L0EsfecEke

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

We 𝙚𝙭𝙘𝙡𝙪𝙨𝙞𝙫𝙚𝙡𝙮 revealed Newcastle's interest in signing Sean Steur FIVE months ago ✅ https://t.co/QFDygr7UaR

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 19% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+19
6 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
19%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.