Newcastle → Arsenal · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 10% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    10 Jun
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @JacobsBen@JacobsBen had it first, 5mo ago

🚨 Spurs continue in talks to sign Sandro Tonali and are optimistic the Italian midfielder wants to join. Roberto De Zerbi is understood to a key factor in his decision-making process. Manchester City and Arsenal also hold an interest. Newcastle United have already rejected one https://t.co/a7ZqwWv8dU

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen5mo ago ↗

    Newcastle braced for bids for Sandro Tonali and expecting multiple suitors. Spurs and Manchester City both in talks. Arsenal enquired in January and are still assessing midfield options for this summer. A return to Italy very unlikely due to cost, even though Tonali wants to https://t.co/hlzMlKCLYr

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

Arsenal news: Calls made over Sandro Tonali as Gunners approach for £86m ace rejected https://t.co/hVrCdYH4kj

claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 10% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
10%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.