West Ham United → Real Madrid · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 11% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    11 Jun
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

5 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

🔴 Real Madrid will NOT pay £80m for Mateus Fernandes - Man Utd will be delighted #MUFC #RMCF https://t.co/c34Vv2tGC4

claims TalksView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk

Real Madrid have launched an enquiry for Mateus Fernandes in the last 48 hours 👀 Manchester United remain confident of winning the race for the West Ham star 🔴⚫️ #MUFC @FrazFletcher | #RMCF #MUFC https://t.co/oRaYiPOtsM

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk5mo ago ↗

    Real Madrid have launched an enquiry for Mateus Fernandes in the last 48 hours 👀 Manchester United remain confident of winning the race for the West Ham star 🔴⚫️ @FrazFletcher | #RMCF #MUFC https://t.co/oRaYiPOtsM

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @JacobsBen@JacobsBen had it first, 5mo ago

Manchester United already opened talks with Mateus Fernandes, who is high in their thinking. Real Madrid also made a recent call.⬇️ https://t.co/2BxKNxOpRs

claims TalksView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen5mo ago ↗

    Movement expected on Mateus Fernandes' future this month. Manchester United already in talks on the player side. PSG and Arsenal also hold appreciation. Real Madrid the latest suitor to make contact. West Ham want double the £38m+£4m they paid, but despite this valuation as https://t.co/PWgV1iER4t

Why it read 11% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
4 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
11%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.