SC Paderborn 07 → Celtic · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
46%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 4mo agolast moved 3mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    21 Jul
  2. Talks
    21 Jul
  3. Agreement
    12 Aug
  4. Medical
    12 Aug
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 21 Julfirst@Plettigoal: Celtic pushing to sign Mika Baur from SC Paderborn with negotiations underway; player keen and personal terms agreed.
  2. 22 JulJoined by @TEAMtalk
  3. 12 AugReached Agreement
  4. 12 AugReached Medical

What was actually said

5 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨💥 EXCL | Mika Baur to Celtic - DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement reached with SC Paderborn. Transfer fee: €8m all-in. Record sale. Contract until 2031. The 22 y/o central midfielder is now on his way with his agents. Transfer set to go through, pending medical and contract https://t.co/RDLqP2CFFL

claims Medical+1 pointView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancing4 reports, led by @Plettigoal

🚨🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Celtic are now pushing to sign Mika Baur with immediate effect. 22 y/o central midfielder is keen to join Celtic and personal terms are not an issue. Negotiations with SC Paderborn have now started. Agent Christian Nerlinger, who has excellent connections to Celtic, is https://t.co/KYeL9FB6Q8

claims TalksView on X ↗
3 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk3mo ago ↗

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Celtic are closing in on the signing of Paderborn star Mika Baur, who's pushing hard for a Glasgow switch👀 @FrazFletcher✍️ | #Celticfc https://t.co/IAMa0W5rut

  • @Plettigoal3mo ago ↗

    🚨🆕 Arne Engels has reached a verbal agreement with West Ham United. Club-to-club negotiations with Celtic are ongoing. At the same time, Celtic are working on a deal to sign Mika Baur from SC Paderborn. @SkySportDE 🇧🇪 https://t.co/QU26F3fjbC

  • @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗

    🟢⚪️ Celtic's transfer window set to burst into life with triple deal planned as Bhoys get green light to sign Paderborn star Mika Baur @FrazFletcher https://t.co/bRDXwqyN2Y #Celtic #transfers

Why it read 46% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+44
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 91% faded
+1
4 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
46%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.