Bayern Munich → Beşiktaş J.K. · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 4mo ago
18%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 5mo agolast moved 4mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    18 Jun
  2. Talks
    18 Jun
  3. Agreement
    6 Jul
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    6 Jul

Catch me up

  1. 18 Junfirst@Plettigoal: Besiktas targeting Nübel as new goalkeeper with talks held, but player does not prioritise the move; Bayern demanding over €10m
  2. 27 JunAdvancing@Plettigoal: Besiktas held fresh talks with Nübel and his agent; no agreement yet but decision expected by Monday or Tuesday; Besiktas offering up to €5m net per season
  3. 6 JulReached Agreement
  4. 6 JulReached Done

What was actually said

6 posts in 5 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancing2 reports, led by @Plettigoal

🚨💥 BREAKING | Alexander Nübel to Besiktas - DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement has now been reached between all parties, including Nübel, his agents and FC Bayern. Transfer fee: €6.5m fixed plus €5m in add-ons. Following his medical, Nübel will sign a contract until 2029 and earn https://t.co/aIpmbj30NM

claims DoneView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @Plettigoal4mo ago ↗

    🚨🏁 Exclusive news, now official and confirmed. Alexander Nübel, new No. 1 @Besiktas. https://t.co/F2WCl7QzXK https://t.co/tO4xBoIu8R

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

🚨⏳ FC Bayern and Besiktas have reached a full agreement over Alexander Nübel: €6.5m fixed plus €5m in add-ons. Nübel has also agreed personal terms with Besiktas until 2029. However, there is still no agreement between Nübel and Bayern over the termination of his contract. https://t.co/mDr9Gv5wyG

claims AgreementView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🚨EXCL | Besiktas director Eduard Graf held fresh talks yesterday with Alexander Nübel and his agent Stefan Backs. No agreement yet with Nübel, who is expected to make his decision by Monday or Tuesday at the latest. Besiktas are offering up to €5m net per season including https://t.co/SI92Zh5KRS

claims TalksView on X ↗

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

🚨🦇 EXCL | Alexander Nübel is current top target for Besiktas as club search for new No. 1. Talks have already taken place with player camp and FC Bayern. Bayern’s demands are understood to be well above €10m. However, it’s difficult as Nübel does not currently prioritise https://t.co/nTmGGO9eC1

claims TalksView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🚨🦇 Besiktas are not giving up on Alexander Nübel. He remains their top target, as excl. revealed. However, Nübel has not yet informed FC Bayern that he wants to join Besiktas. He is still assessing other options and enquiries. Besiktas remain in the race and continue to https://t.co/Nj2VwYwoEo

claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 18% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+18
6 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
18%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.