ArsenalBorussia Dortmund · Loan · Summer 2026

Confirmedreported done by several independent sources · 18d ago
89%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 2mo agolast moved 18d ago
  1. Rumoured
    31 Jul
  2. Talks
    1 Sept
  3. Agreement
    1 Sept
  4. Medical
    1 Sept
  5. Done
    1 Sept

Catch me up

  1. 31 Julfirst@TEAMtalk: Borussia Dortmund monitoring Ethan Nwaneri; Arsenal open to selling the teenager
  2. 1 SeptReached Agreement
  3. 1 SeptReached Talks
  4. 1 SeptJoined by @FabrizioRomano, @David_Ornstein, @Plettigoal, @JacobsBen
  5. 1 SeptReached Medical
  6. 1 SeptReached Done

What was actually said

6 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 60%claims AgreementView on X ↗

Reported as done

Advancing3 reports, led by @Plettigoal
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 36%claims DoneView on X ↗
2 other posts, 2 other sources on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen18d agono effect

    Arsenal confirm Ethan Nwaneri has joined Dortmund on loan.🤝 https://t.co/0JLrnXfNZo

  • @FabrizioRomano18d agono effect

    🟡⚫️🫱🏻‍🫲🏼 Ethan Nwaneri has joined Borussia Dortmund on loan deal from Arsenal. Here with his agent Will Salthouse from Unique Sports Group. Exclusive story, confirmed. https://t.co/kaO37G6FkS

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 8%claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 89% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+98
David_Ornstein advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−11
5 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
89%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%31 Aug: 11%31 Aug: 11%31 Aug: 11%31 Aug: 11%31 Aug: 11%31 Aug: 11%31 Aug: 11%31 Aug: 11%1 Sept: 89%1 Sept: +78 points, after @FabrizioRomano, @David_Ornstein, @Plettigoal, @JacobsBen, @FabrizioRomano29 Aug30 Aug1 Sept
43 recomputations 78 points over the trail
  1. +7818d ago@FabrizioRomano: Season-long loan agreed from Arsenal to Borussia Dortmund, salary covered by BVB. · @David_Ornstein: Ethan Nwaneri flying to do medical and join Borussia Dortmund from Arsenal on season-long loan · @Plettigoal: Ethan Nwaneri to Borussia Dortmund on loan deal completed, €5m package with no buy option. · @JacobsBen: Ethan Nwaneri joined Dortmund on loan from Arsenal · @FabrizioRomano: Ethan Nwaneri joined Borussia Dortmund on loan from Arsenal