Stade Rennais F.C.Atlanta United FC · Permanent · Summer 2026

Confirmedchecked against the public record · 28d ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    23 Jul
  2. Talks
    6 Aug
  3. Agreement
    14 Aug
  4. Medical
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 23 Julfirst@JacobsBen: Breel Embolo attracting interest from Atlanta United
  2. 6 AugReached Talks
  3. 14 AugReached Agreement

What was actually said

5 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 60%claims TalksView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral3 reports, led by @JacobsBen
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 36%claims RumouredView on X ↗
2 other posts on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen2mo agono effect

    Breel Embolo is attracting interest from Atlanta United. Embolo also considered by ⁠Hull City and Ipswich along with multiple Serie A clubs. Sale possible around €15m.🇨🇲 https://t.co/jDQta6jZmd

  • @JacobsBen2mo agono effect

    Breel Embolo is attracting interest from Atlanta United. Embolo also considered by ⁠Hull City and Ipswich along with multiple Serie A clubs. Sale possible around €15m.🇨🇭 https://t.co/Kw5hTnGnTu

Why it read 15% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+19
JacobsBen advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 93% faded
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−5
4 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
15%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: 28%29 Aug: 28%29 Aug: 28%29 Aug: 28%29 Aug: 28%29 Aug: 28%29 Aug: 28%29 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%1 Sept: 15%1 Sept: 15%2 Sept: 15%29 Aug: −18 points, with no new post30 Aug: +7 points, with no new post29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
37 recomputations 13 points over the trail
  1. 1821d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. +720d agono new post; decay or a rival moving