FC AugsburgCrystal Palace F.C. · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 13% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    24 Jul
  2. Talks
    24 Jul
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 24 Julfirst@Plettigoal: Matsima has reached full agreement with Crystal Palace over an immediate move; Augsburg rejected a €20m offer
  2. 26 JulCooling@Plettigoal: FC Augsburg rejected Crystal Palace's €25 million bid; clubs remain apart on valuation
  3. 27 JulAdvancing@Plettigoal: New negotiations between Crystal Palace and FC Augsburg for Matsima; clubs discussing final details

What was actually said

4 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @Plettigoal
1 other post on the same claim
  • @Plettigoal2mo agono effect

    🚨🆕 New negotiations took place today between Crystal Palace and FC Augsburg for Chrislain Matsima. Matsima is still in Augsburg. He has not yet been given the green light to travel for his medical. It‘s advanced. However, the clubs are discussing the final details, including https://t.co/87N60WLc9n

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 60%claims AgreementView on X ↗

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 36%claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 13% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+15
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
4 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
13%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%1 Sept: 13%1 Sept: 13%2 Sept: 13%29 Aug: −6 points, with no new post29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
37 recomputations 7 points over the trail
  1. 621d agono new post; decay or a rival moving