Strasbourg Alsace → Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    31 Aug
  2. Talks
    31 Aug
  3. Agreement
    31 Aug
  4. Medical
    31 Aug
  5. Done
    31 Aug

What was actually said

3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

🚨🔴⚫️ EXCLUSIVE: Bayer Leverkusen have agreed deal to sign Guela Doué, here we go! Authorization to travel from RC Strasbourg after €37.5m package agreed, add-ons included. Doué said yes to the move and will sign in as new Bayer 04 fullback. https://t.co/55sqGSFPj6

claims Done+13 pointsView on X ↗

Reported at medical stage

Advancing2 reports, led by @Plettigoal

🚨💥 Guéla Doué to Bayer 04 Leverkusen - DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement reached with RC Strasbourg for the 23 y/o right-back. €30m fixed fee, potentially rising to €36m. Doué is on his way to undergo his medical. An agreement was expected - signing him was a clear target for https://t.co/VocHYSxLla

claims Medical+5 pointsView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @Plettigoal2mo ago ↗+2

    🚨🔴⚫️ Guéla Doué has arrived in Leverkusen for his medical ahead of his move to Bayer 04. 📹 @Sky_Marlon89 As reported, €30m fixed fee, potentially rising to €36m. @SkySportDE 🇨🇮 https://t.co/Rj6ePBbZES

Why it read 77% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+58
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+13
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 60%
+5
Florian Plettenberg advancingtrust 0.55, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 36%
+2
Completion probability
77%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457531 Aug: +39 points, after @FabrizioRomano2 Sept: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting31 Aug31 Aug2 Sept
7 recomputations▲ 34 points over the trail
  1. +392mo ago@FabrizioRomano: Bayer Leverkusen have agreed deal to sign Guela Doué from RC Strasbourg for €37.5m plus add-ons; player said yes and will sign as fullback.
  2. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting