Bayer 04 LeverkusenSV Werder Bremen · Loan · Summer 2026

Confirmedchecked against the public record · 18d ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    31 Aug
  2. Talks
    31 Aug
  3. Agreement
    31 Aug
  4. Medical
    31 Aug
  5. Done

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancing2 reports, led by @Plettigoal
1 other post on the same claim
  • @Plettigoal18d ago+3

    🚨💥 EXCL | Arthur to Werder Bremen - DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement reached with Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Straight loan with no buy option for 23 y/o right-back. Medical and contract signing scheduled for Tuesday, provided Guéla Doué passes his medical at Leverkusen. @SkySportDE 🇧🇷 https://t.co/uWD4RSP82P

Why it read 33% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+28
Plettigoal advancingBroke ittrust 0.55
+10
Plettigoal advancingtrust 0.55, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 60%
+3
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−7
Completion probability
33%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457531 Aug: 37%31 Aug: 37%1 Sept: 35%1 Sept: 35%2 Sept: 33%31 Aug1 Sept2 Sept
5 recomputations 4 points over the trail