Crystal Palace → 1. FC Köln · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    1 Sept
  2. Talks
    1 Sept
  3. Agreement
    1 Sept
  4. Medical
    1 Sept
  5. Done
    1 Sept

Catch me up

  1. 1 Septfirst@Plettigoal: 1. FC Köln working on a deal for Borna Sosa with talks ongoing
  2. 1 SeptReached Agreement
  3. 1 SeptReached Medical
  4. 1 SeptReached Done

What was actually said

5 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

🚨🆕 Everything has gone through. Borna Sosa is a new 1. FC Köln player. 19:57 - everything completed.

claims Done+12 pointsView on X ↗

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨💥 EXCLUSIVE | Borna Sosa to 1. FC Köln - DONE DEAL ✔️ As exclusively revealed over the weekend, Sosa was a candidate for Köln. Full agreement with Crystal Palace has now been reached. Last paperworks. #Effzeh The 28 y/o left-back on his way to his medical. Straight loan https://t.co/lMM73lw19p

claims Medical+7 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as a live interest

Advancingone report

🚨⤵️ Despite Mees de Wit, Borna Sosa is currently the clear favourite for 1. FC Köln. Sosa is the player Köln want to sign. https://t.co/7T38AifAym

claims Rumoured+4 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @Plettigoal

🚨🐐 1. FC Köln are working on a deal for Borna Sosa, as exclusively revealed recently. Talks are ongoing. #Effzeh also have another candidate on their list. @SkySportDE 🇭🇷 https://t.co/QuPJx1kVdO

claims Talks+3 pointsView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @Plettigoal2mo ago ↗+1

    🚨EXCL | 1. FC Köln and Borna Sosa have reached a verbal agreement over a loan move. The final details now have to be clarified with Crystal Palace. No full agreement between the clubs yet, but it’s looking good. Deal expected to be without a purchase option. #Effzeh https://t.co/3Ok4Zk8fRN

Why it read 56% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+29
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55
+12
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 60%
+7
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 36%
+4
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 22%
+3
Florian Plettenberg advancingtrust 0.55, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 13%
+1
Completion probability
56%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045752 Sept: −5 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting1 Sept1 Sept2 Sept
3 recomputations▼ 5 points over the trail
  1. −52mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting