Chelsea → RB Leipzig · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedreported done by several independent sources · 2mo ago
99%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 2mo agolast moved 2mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    1 Sept
  2. Talks
    1 Sept
  3. Agreement
    1 Sept
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    1 Sept

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancing2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano

🔴⚪️ Exclusive story, confirmed: Marc Guiu signs in as new RB Leipzig player. 🇪🇸 Chelsea receive £15m package for permanent deal. https://t.co/VlUAYyqSj6 https://t.co/ZsTFE9TyXb

claims Done+2 pointsView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @Plettigoal2mo ago ↗

    🚨🏁 Now official: Marc Guiu, new striker for RB Leipzig. €17m transfer fee, including realistic bonuses + sell-on. The 20 y/o Spanish striker has signed a contract until 2031. https://t.co/1GRPfOqf1n

Why it read 99% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+96
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+2
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
99%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.