Manchester CityManchester United F.C. · Loan · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 12% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    1 Sept
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 1 Septfirst@JacobsBen: Manchester United made a deadline day enquiry for Manchester City left-back Rayan Aït-Nouri; Manchester City believe a deal is unlikely.
  2. 1 SeptJoined by @TEAMtalk, @FabrizioRomano
  3. 1 SeptAdvancing@TEAMtalk: Man Utd make a tentative move for left-back Rayan Ait-Nouri; Man City also interested

What was actually said

5 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 60%claims TalksView on X ↗

Said to be cooling

Cooling2 reports, led by @JacobsBen
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 36%claims TalksView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen15d agono effect

    More on Manchester United and Rayan Ait-Nouri. Offered the player a few days ago and held talks with #MCFC today. Club told a loan only possible with an obligation to buy. Manchester United had no interest in a permanent move.🇩🇿 https://t.co/FpL3YQD26e

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 13%claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 12% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+29
FabrizioRomano denialBroke ittrust 0.75
−17
TEAMtalk advancingBroke ittrust 0.40, counted at 60%
+3
JacobsBen coolingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 36%
−2
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
12%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045751 Sept: 11%1 Sept: 11%2 Sept: 12%1 Sept1 Sept2 Sept
3 recomputations 1 points over the trail