TransferHype
Winter 2027

Chemsdine Talbi

MF

Sunderland A.F.C. → Al Ittihad FC · Winter 2027

8%
Unlikely
first reported 14d agolast moved 8d ago
  1. Rumoured
    3 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.80counted at 60%claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 8%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
TEAMtalk denialBroke ittrust 0.51, 66% faded
−3
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
8%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045754 Sept: 7%4 Sept: 7%4 Sept: 7%5 Sept: 8%5 Sept: 8%5 Sept: 8%5 Sept: 8%5 Sept: 8%5 Sept: 8%5 Sept: 8%5 Sept: 8%6 Sept: 8%6 Sept: 8%6 Sept: 8%6 Sept: 8%6 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%7 Sept: 8%8 Sept: 8%8 Sept: 8%8 Sept: 8%8 Sept: 8%8 Sept: 8%8 Sept: 8%8 Sept: 8%8 Sept: 8%8 Sept: 8%8 Sept: 8%8 Sept: 8%8 Sept: 8%8 Sept: 9%8 Sept: 9%8 Sept: 9%8 Sept: 9%8 Sept: 9%8 Sept: 9%8 Sept: 9%8 Sept: 9%8 Sept: 9%8 Sept: 9%8 Sept: 9%8 Sept: 9%9 Sept: 9%9 Sept: 9%9 Sept: 9%9 Sept: 9%9 Sept: 9%9 Sept: 9%9 Sept: 9%9 Sept: 9%9 Sept: 9%9 Sept: 9%9 Sept: 9%9 Sept: 9%9 Sept: 9%9 Sept: 4%9 Sept: 4%9 Sept: 4%9 Sept: 4%9 Sept: 4%9 Sept: 4%9 Sept: 4%9 Sept: 4%9 Sept: 4%9 Sept: 4%9 Sept: 4%10 Sept: 4%10 Sept: 4%10 Sept: 4%10 Sept: 5%10 Sept: 5%10 Sept: 5%10 Sept: 5%10 Sept: 5%10 Sept: 5%10 Sept: 5%10 Sept: 5%10 Sept: 5%10 Sept: 5%10 Sept: 5%10 Sept: 5%10 Sept: 5%10 Sept: 5%10 Sept: 5%10 Sept: 5%10 Sept: 5%10 Sept: 5%10 Sept: 5%10 Sept: 5%10 Sept: 5%11 Sept: 5%11 Sept: 5%11 Sept: 5%11 Sept: 5%11 Sept: 5%11 Sept: 5%11 Sept: 5%11 Sept: 5%11 Sept: 5%11 Sept: 5%11 Sept: 5%11 Sept: 5%11 Sept: 5%11 Sept: 5%11 Sept: 5%11 Sept: 5%11 Sept: 5%11 Sept: 5%11 Sept: 5%11 Sept: 5%11 Sept: 5%11 Sept: 5%11 Sept: 5%11 Sept: 5%11 Sept: 5%12 Sept: 5%12 Sept: 6%12 Sept: 6%12 Sept: 6%12 Sept: 6%12 Sept: 6%12 Sept: 6%12 Sept: 6%12 Sept: 6%12 Sept: 6%12 Sept: 6%12 Sept: 6%12 Sept: 6%12 Sept: 6%12 Sept: 6%12 Sept: 6%12 Sept: 6%12 Sept: 6%12 Sept: 6%12 Sept: 6%12 Sept: 6%12 Sept: 6%12 Sept: 6%12 Sept: 6%12 Sept: 6%12 Sept: 6%13 Sept: 6%13 Sept: 6%13 Sept: 6%13 Sept: 6%13 Sept: 6%13 Sept: 6%13 Sept: 6%13 Sept: 6%13 Sept: 6%13 Sept: 6%13 Sept: 6%13 Sept: 6%13 Sept: 6%13 Sept: 6%13 Sept: 6%13 Sept: 6%13 Sept: 6%13 Sept: 6%13 Sept: 6%13 Sept: 6%13 Sept: 6%13 Sept: 6%13 Sept: 6%13 Sept: 6%14 Sept: 6%14 Sept: 6%14 Sept: 7%14 Sept: 7%14 Sept: 7%14 Sept: 7%14 Sept: 7%14 Sept: 7%14 Sept: 7%14 Sept: 7%14 Sept: 7%14 Sept: 7%14 Sept: 7%14 Sept: 7%14 Sept: 7%14 Sept: 7%14 Sept: 7%14 Sept: 7%14 Sept: 7%14 Sept: 7%14 Sept: 7%14 Sept: 7%14 Sept: 7%14 Sept: 7%15 Sept: 7%15 Sept: 7%15 Sept: 7%15 Sept: 7%15 Sept: 7%15 Sept: 7%15 Sept: 7%15 Sept: 7%15 Sept: 7%15 Sept: 7%15 Sept: 7%15 Sept: 7%15 Sept: 7%15 Sept: 7%15 Sept: 7%15 Sept: 7%15 Sept: 7%15 Sept: 7%15 Sept: 7%15 Sept: 7%15 Sept: 7%15 Sept: 7%15 Sept: 7%15 Sept: 7%16 Sept: 7%16 Sept: 7%16 Sept: 7%16 Sept: 7%16 Sept: 7%16 Sept: 7%16 Sept: 7%16 Sept: 7%16 Sept: 7%16 Sept: 7%16 Sept: 7%16 Sept: 7%16 Sept: 7%16 Sept: 8%16 Sept: 8%16 Sept: 8%16 Sept: 8%16 Sept: 8%16 Sept: 8%16 Sept: 8%16 Sept: 8%16 Sept: 8%16 Sept: 8%16 Sept: 8%17 Sept: 8%17 Sept: 8%17 Sept: 8%17 Sept: 8%17 Sept: 8%9 Sept: −5 points, with no new post4 Sept11 Sept17 Sept
268 recomputations▲ 0 points over the trail
  1. −58d agono new post; decay or a rival moving