TransferHype
Winter 2027

Mauro Icardi

FW

Galatasaray S.K. → Everton F.C. · Free · Winter 2027

12%
Unlikely
first reported 11d agolast moved 9d ago
  1. Rumoured
    8 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

4 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral3 reports, led by @TEAMtalk
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.51counted at 60%claims RumouredView on X ↗
2 other posts on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk9d ago ↗no effect

    Everton are considering a move for Argentinian striker Mauro Icardi, who is available as a free agent following his departure from Galatasaray, we can confirm. https://t.co/J1majEMLgO

  • @TEAMtalk9d ago ↗no effect

    Everton are interested in signing free agent Mauro Icardi, TEAMtalk can confirm 👀 What a transfer this would be 😍 https://t.co/J385YOq7uB

Why 12%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
TEAMtalk advancingBroke ittrust 0.51, 70% faded
+2
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
12%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045758 Sept: 14%8 Sept: 14%8 Sept: 14%8 Sept: 14%8 Sept: 14%9 Sept: 14%9 Sept: 14%9 Sept: 14%9 Sept: 14%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 45%10 Sept: 45%10 Sept: 45%10 Sept: 45%10 Sept: 44%11 Sept: 44%11 Sept: 44%11 Sept: 44%11 Sept: 44%11 Sept: 44%11 Sept: 43%11 Sept: 43%11 Sept: 43%11 Sept: 43%11 Sept: 43%11 Sept: 43%11 Sept: 43%11 Sept: 43%11 Sept: 42%11 Sept: 42%11 Sept: 42%11 Sept: 42%11 Sept: 42%11 Sept: 42%11 Sept: 42%11 Sept: 42%11 Sept: 41%11 Sept: 41%11 Sept: 41%11 Sept: 41%12 Sept: 41%12 Sept: 41%12 Sept: 41%12 Sept: 41%12 Sept: 41%12 Sept: 41%12 Sept: 40%12 Sept: 40%12 Sept: 40%12 Sept: 40%12 Sept: 40%12 Sept: 40%12 Sept: 40%12 Sept: 40%12 Sept: 40%12 Sept: 39%12 Sept: 39%12 Sept: 39%12 Sept: 39%12 Sept: 39%12 Sept: 39%12 Sept: 39%12 Sept: 39%12 Sept: 39%12 Sept: 39%12 Sept: 39%13 Sept: 38%13 Sept: 38%13 Sept: 38%13 Sept: 38%13 Sept: 38%13 Sept: 38%13 Sept: 38%13 Sept: 38%13 Sept: 38%13 Sept: 38%13 Sept: 37%13 Sept: 37%13 Sept: 37%13 Sept: 37%13 Sept: 37%13 Sept: 37%13 Sept: 37%13 Sept: 37%13 Sept: 37%13 Sept: 37%13 Sept: 36%13 Sept: 36%13 Sept: 36%13 Sept: 36%14 Sept: 36%14 Sept: 36%14 Sept: 36%14 Sept: 36%14 Sept: 36%14 Sept: 36%14 Sept: 36%14 Sept: 35%14 Sept: 35%14 Sept: 35%14 Sept: 35%14 Sept: 35%14 Sept: 35%14 Sept: 28%14 Sept: 28%14 Sept: 28%14 Sept: 28%14 Sept: 28%14 Sept: 28%14 Sept: 28%14 Sept: 28%14 Sept: 28%14 Sept: 27%14 Sept: 27%15 Sept: 27%15 Sept: 27%15 Sept: 27%15 Sept: 27%15 Sept: 27%15 Sept: 27%15 Sept: 27%15 Sept: 27%15 Sept: 27%15 Sept: 27%15 Sept: 27%15 Sept: 27%15 Sept: 27%15 Sept: 27%15 Sept: 27%15 Sept: 27%15 Sept: 27%15 Sept: 27%15 Sept: 27%15 Sept: 27%15 Sept: 26%15 Sept: 26%15 Sept: 26%15 Sept: 26%16 Sept: 26%16 Sept: 26%16 Sept: 26%16 Sept: 26%16 Sept: 26%16 Sept: 26%16 Sept: 26%16 Sept: 26%16 Sept: 26%16 Sept: 26%16 Sept: 26%16 Sept: 26%16 Sept: 26%16 Sept: 26%16 Sept: 26%16 Sept: 26%16 Sept: 26%16 Sept: 26%16 Sept: 26%16 Sept: 25%16 Sept: 25%16 Sept: 25%16 Sept: 25%16 Sept: 25%17 Sept: 25%17 Sept: 25%17 Sept: 25%17 Sept: 25%17 Sept: 25%17 Sept: 25%17 Sept: 25%17 Sept: 25%17 Sept: 25%17 Sept: 25%17 Sept: 25%17 Sept: 25%17 Sept: 25%17 Sept: 25%17 Sept: 25%17 Sept: 25%17 Sept: 25%17 Sept: 25%17 Sept: 25%17 Sept: 23%17 Sept: 23%17 Sept: 23%17 Sept: 23%17 Sept: 22%18 Sept: 22%18 Sept: 22%18 Sept: 22%18 Sept: 22%18 Sept: 22%18 Sept: 22%18 Sept: 22%18 Sept: 22%18 Sept: 22%18 Sept: 22%18 Sept: 22%18 Sept: 22%18 Sept: 22%18 Sept: 22%18 Sept: 22%18 Sept: 22%18 Sept: 22%18 Sept: 22%18 Sept: 22%18 Sept: 22%18 Sept: 22%18 Sept: 22%18 Sept: 22%18 Sept: 12%18 Sept: 12%19 Sept: 12%19 Sept: 12%19 Sept: 12%19 Sept: 12%19 Sept: 12%10 Sept: +32 points, with no new post14 Sept: −7 points, with no new post18 Sept: −10 points, with no new post8 Sept13 Sept19 Sept
254 recomputations▼ 2 points over the trail
  1. +328d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. −106h agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. −75d agono new post; decay or a rival moving