Free agent → Tottenham Hotspur · Free · Winter 2027

Will Mauro Icardi join Tottenham Hotspur? Unlikely for now: 5%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 17 Sep.

5%
Unlikely
first reported 2mo agolast moved 2d ago
  1. Rumoured
    17 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report

itInter's Marotta states Icardi does not fit into their plans

.@Inter, Marotta: “Dimarco? Abbiamo esercitato la clausola di allungamento. Icardi non rientra nei nostri piani” https://t.co/IcbNq5aUi9

claims Rumoured−7 pointsname shared — matched from contextView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Tottenham are reportedly in the running to sign prolific free agent striker Mauro Icardi, although there's a catch to him potentially fixing their goalscoring issues straight away 🤔 #THFC https://t.co/0M3s3RlS1j

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 5%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Gianluca Di Marzio denialBroke ittrust 0.75
−7
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
5%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045754 Nov: −4 points, after @DiMarzio17 Sept7 Oct5 Nov
1193 recomputations▼ 6 points over the trail
  1. −42d ago@DiMarzio: Inter's Marotta states Icardi does not fit into their plans