TransferHype
Winter 2027

Mauro Icardi

FW

Unknown club → Tottenham Hotspur F.C. · Free · Winter 2027

11%
Unlikely
first reported 2d agolast moved 2d ago
  1. Rumoured
    17 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Why 11%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
TEAMtalk neutralBroke ittrust 0.51
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
Completion probability
11%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457517 Sept: 10%17 Sept: 10%17 Sept: 10%17 Sept: 10%17 Sept: 10%18 Sept: 10%18 Sept: 10%18 Sept: 10%18 Sept: 10%18 Sept: 10%18 Sept: 10%18 Sept: 10%18 Sept: 10%18 Sept: 10%18 Sept: 10%18 Sept: 10%18 Sept: 10%18 Sept: 10%18 Sept: 10%18 Sept: 10%18 Sept: 10%18 Sept: 10%18 Sept: 10%18 Sept: 10%18 Sept: 10%18 Sept: 10%18 Sept: 10%18 Sept: 10%18 Sept: 11%18 Sept: 11%19 Sept: 11%19 Sept: 11%19 Sept: 11%19 Sept: 11%19 Sept: 11%17 Sept18 Sept19 Sept
35 recomputations▲ 1 points over the trail