TransferHype
Winter 2027

Martín Zubimendi

MF

Arsenal → Chelsea F.C. · Winter 2027

12%
Unlikely
first reported 7d agolast moved 7d ago
  1. Rumoured
    9 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Why 12%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
TEAMtalk neutralBroke ittrust 0.51, 60% faded
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
Completion probability
12%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045759 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 12%10 Sept: 12%10 Sept: 12%10 Sept: 12%10 Sept: 12%10 Sept: 12%10 Sept: 12%10 Sept: 12%10 Sept: 12%10 Sept: 12%10 Sept: 12%10 Sept: 12%10 Sept: 12%10 Sept: 12%10 Sept: 12%10 Sept: 12%11 Sept: 12%11 Sept: 12%11 Sept: 12%11 Sept: 12%11 Sept: 12%11 Sept: 12%11 Sept: 12%11 Sept: 12%11 Sept: 12%11 Sept: 12%11 Sept: 12%11 Sept: 12%11 Sept: 12%11 Sept: 12%11 Sept: 12%11 Sept: 12%11 Sept: 12%11 Sept: 12%11 Sept: 12%11 Sept: 12%11 Sept: 12%11 Sept: 12%11 Sept: 12%11 Sept: 12%11 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%12 Sept: 12%13 Sept: 12%13 Sept: 12%13 Sept: 12%13 Sept: 12%13 Sept: 12%13 Sept: 12%13 Sept: 12%13 Sept: 12%13 Sept: 12%13 Sept: 12%13 Sept: 12%13 Sept: 12%13 Sept: 12%13 Sept: 12%13 Sept: 12%13 Sept: 12%13 Sept: 12%13 Sept: 12%13 Sept: 12%13 Sept: 12%13 Sept: 12%13 Sept: 12%13 Sept: 12%13 Sept: 12%14 Sept: 12%14 Sept: 12%14 Sept: 12%14 Sept: 12%14 Sept: 12%14 Sept: 12%14 Sept: 12%14 Sept: 12%14 Sept: 12%14 Sept: 12%14 Sept: 12%14 Sept: 12%14 Sept: 12%14 Sept: 12%14 Sept: 12%14 Sept: 12%14 Sept: 12%14 Sept: 12%14 Sept: 12%14 Sept: 12%14 Sept: 12%14 Sept: 12%14 Sept: 12%14 Sept: 12%15 Sept: 12%15 Sept: 12%15 Sept: 12%15 Sept: 12%15 Sept: 12%15 Sept: 12%15 Sept: 12%15 Sept: 12%15 Sept: 12%15 Sept: 12%15 Sept: 12%15 Sept: 12%15 Sept: 12%15 Sept: 12%15 Sept: 12%15 Sept: 12%15 Sept: 12%15 Sept: 12%15 Sept: 12%15 Sept: 12%15 Sept: 12%15 Sept: 12%15 Sept: 12%15 Sept: 12%9 Sept12 Sept15 Sept
158 recomputations▼ 1 points over the trail