Club Brugge K.V. → Manchester United · Winter 2027

Will Nicolo Tresoldi join Manchester United? Unlikely for now: 7%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 9 Sep.

7%
Unlikely
first reported 2mo agolast moved 8d ago
  1. Rumoured
    9 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 7 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @footyinsider247@TEAMtalk had it first, 2mo ago

Arsenal & Man Utd will have to wait until next summer for the chance to sign Club Brugge striker Nicolo Tresoldi, sources have told Football Insider 🇩🇪 Which club suits him more? Vote in article NOW 👇 https://t.co/hOcIYpTs1i https://t.co/eAEwlrCQx8

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk2mo ago ↗

    🚨🆕 Man Utd and Tottenham are in the mix to sign Club Brugge striker Nicolo Tresoldi Scouts from both clubs have been left very impressed by the 22-year-old ⤵️ @GraemeBailey | #MUFC #THFC https://t.co/yeAZlIsVXE

Why 7%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+11
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−5
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
7%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045757 Oct: −6 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting9 Sept17 Oct5 Nov
1394 recomputations▼ 6 points over the trail
  1. −629d agono new post: we re-read the reporting