Club Brugge K.V. → Manchester City · Winter 2027

Will Nicolo Tresoldi join Manchester City? Unlikely for now: 7%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 25 Oct.

7%
Unlikely
first reported 12d agolast moved 10d ago
  1. Rumoured
    25 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 7 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk

Chelsea and Man City are expected to scout striker Nicolo Tresoldi on Sunday, as interest in the Club Brugge star accelerates ⬇️ @GraemeBailey✍️ | #CFC #MCFC https://t.co/xoCuLkK8Mx

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk10d ago ↗

    Chelsea and Man City scouts were in attendance to watch Nicolo Tresoldi score another hat-trick on Sunday, but they were not alone... 👀 Arsenal, Tottenham and Newcastle are also interested in the prolific German striker ⤵️ @GraemeBailey | #CFC #MCFC https://t.co/lEfHOEYdGP

Why 7%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+11
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−5
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
7%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457527 Oct: +3 points, after @TEAMtalk25 Oct27 Oct5 Nov
275 recomputations▲ 2 points over the trail
  1. +39d ago@TEAMtalk: Man City scouts watched Nicolo Tresoldi score a hat-trick; Man City interested in the German striker