Barcelona → Liverpool · Winter 2027

Will Alejandro Balde join Liverpool? Unlikely for now: 10%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 14 Sep.

10%
Unlikely
first reported 2mo agolast moved 3d ago
  1. Rumoured
    14 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 2mo ago

🔴 Liverpool plan Barcelona raid for Alejandro Balde, according to a new claims #LFC #FCBarcelona https://t.co/UwKUPHYQ64

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk2mo ago ↗

    Liverpool could reportedly launch a January move for Barcelona left-back Alejandro Balde 😲 Manchester United remain interested in the 22-year-old ⤵️ #LFC #MUFC https://t.co/LudRp1gYde

Why 10%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
10%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045757 Oct: −4 points, after @TEAMtalk1 Nov: +3 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination2 Nov: +3 points, after @TEAMtalk14 Sept7 Oct5 Nov
1265 recomputations▼ 3 points over the trail
  1. −429d ago@TEAMtalk: Liverpool could launch a January move for Barcelona left-back Alejandro Balde
  2. +34d agonews on a rival destination
  3. +33d ago@TEAMtalk: Liverpool plan Barcelona raid for Alejandro Balde