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Everton → Manchester United · Permanent · Winter 2027
Will Jarrad Branthwaite join Manchester United? Unlikely for now: 9%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 16 Sep.
9%
Unlikely
first reported 2mo agolast moved 9d ago
- Rumoured16 Sept
- Talks—
- Agreement—
- Medical—
- Done—
Contested — 5 clubs
Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.
- since 24 Sept · 2 posts
- Manchester UnitedRumoured9%since 16 Sept · 2 posts
- since 16 Sept · 1 post
- since 16 Sept · 1 post
- since 16 Sept · 1 post
What was actually said
2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.
Mentioned, no claim either way
Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 2mo ago1 other post on the same claim
Why 9%
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+11
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
9%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.