Everton → Atlético Madrid · Winter 2027

Will Jarrad Branthwaite join Atlético Madrid? Unlikely for now: 2%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 16 Sep.

2%
Unlikely
first reported 2mo agolast moved 2mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    16 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 5 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

💣 𝙀𝙓𝘾𝙇𝙐𝙎𝙄𝙑𝙀 💣 Jarrad Branthwaite is BACK on Manchester United's radar, but Manchester City, Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid are also interested 🤑 Everton insist he is not for sale, but interest in the top-class defender is ramping up ⤵️ @GraemeBailey | #MUFC #EFC

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 2%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−6
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
2%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045757 Oct: −5 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting17 Sept7 Oct5 Nov
1211 recomputations▼ 9 points over the trail
  1. −529d agono new post: we re-read the reporting