Eintracht Frankfurt → Tottenham Hotspur · Winter 2027

Will Younes Ebnoutalib join Tottenham Hotspur? Unlikely for now: 8%, still a rumour, on 3 posts since 29 Sep.

8%
Unlikely
first reported 1mo agolast moved 2d ago
  1. Rumoured
    29 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 5 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as a live interest

Advancingone report

Tottenham and Juventus are leading the chase for in-form Eintracht Frankfurt striker Younes Ebnoutalib, but they'll need to act fast to secure his signature... Details 👇 #THFC https://t.co/bbdQh1VwHK

claims Rumoured+5 pointsView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 1mo ago

Tottenham scouts watched January attacking target Younes Ebnoutalib score the winner for Frankfurt on Friday night and couldn't help but be impressed 🔥 @GraemeBailey✍️ | #THFC https://t.co/SLR0HX0FQY

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk1mo ago ↗

    Tottenham are eyeing a move for Frankfurt forward Younes Ebnoutalib, who Jurgen Klopp has called up to the senior Germany squad 🇩🇪🌟 Brighton and Everton are also interested in the 23-year-old ⤵️ @GraemeBailey | #THFC https://t.co/NbVtJeQWvh

Why 8%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
TEAMtalk advancingBroke ittrust 0.52
+5
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−9
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
8%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045757 Oct: −6 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting18 Oct: +9 points, after @TEAMtalk3 Nov: +5 points, after @TEAMtalk5 Nov: −6 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination29 Sept18 Oct5 Nov
906 recomputations▼ 4 points over the trail
  1. +918d ago@TEAMtalk: Tottenham scouts watched Younes Ebnoutalib play for Frankfurt, with interest in signing him in January
  2. −629d agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. −610h agonews on a rival destination
  4. +52d ago@TEAMtalk: Tottenham leading the chase for in-form Eintracht Frankfurt striker Younes Ebnoutalib