Eintracht Frankfurt → Liverpool · Winter 2027

Will Younes Ebnoutalib join Liverpool? Possible for now: 40%, at the talks stage, on 1 post since 5 Nov. @Plettigoal has reported it done; the stage moves when a second source agrees.

40%
Possible
first reported 12h agolast moved 12h ago
  1. Rumoured
    5 Nov
  2. Talks
    5 Nov
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 5 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

🚨💯 Confirmed and revealed yesterday: Jürgen Klopp is bringing in Niclas Füllkrug, alongside Kai Havertz and Younes Ebnoutalib. https://t.co/7595AicNWq

claims Done+21 pointsView on X ↗

Why 40%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+30
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.86
+21
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−10
Completion probability
40%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045755 Nov5 Nov5 Nov
10 recomputations▼ 1 points over the trail