Brentford → Liverpool · Permanent · Winter 2027

Will Kevin Schade join Liverpool? Unlikely for now: 9%, still a rumour, on 3 posts since 30 Sep.

9%
Unlikely
first reported 1mo agolast moved 20d ago
  1. Rumoured
    30 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Arsenal and Liverpool are both showing interest in Brentford star Kevin Schade 🔥 The 24-year-old winger is valued at over £60m by the Bees 🤑 @FrazFletcher | #AFC #LFC https://t.co/XOPcE0jZFc

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Reported as a live interest

Advancing2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk

🚨 Liverpool 𝙀𝙓𝘾𝙇𝙐𝙎𝙄𝙑𝙀 The Reds are emerging as favourites to sign Kevin Schade - and there are circumstances in which a move to take the Brentford star to #LFC could be done in January Keith Andrews' side are locked in talks over a new deal, though, with his current

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk1mo ago ↗

    🔴 Liverpool are expressing interest in Brentford duo Michael Kayode and Kevin Schade All the details ⤵️ #LFC https://t.co/2Jzi7f2Fvc

Why 9%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+10
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
4 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
9%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045757 Oct: +4 points, after @TEAMtalk, @TEAMtalk30 Sept14 Oct5 Nov
880 recomputations▲ 0 points over the trail
  1. +429d ago@TEAMtalk: Liverpool emerging as favourites to sign Brentford's Kevin Schade; move could be done in January under certain circumstances · @TEAMtalk: Liverpool are expressing interest in Brentford forward Kevin Schade